2015 South Atlantic Region

lastguyoffthebench · November 05, 2015, 10:23:20 AM

1. Montclair St. 18-2-0 18-2-0 WIN OVER ROWAN
2. Rowan 15-5-0 16-5-0 LOSS TO MSU
3. Stockton 14-5-1 14-5-1 LOSS TO CAMDEN
4. Rutgers-Camden 13-7-1 13-7-1 WIN OVER STOCKTON
5. Rutgers-Newark 13-7-1 13-7-1 IDLE
6. Christopher Newport 11-2-6 11-2-6 IDLE
7. Kean 14-6-0 14-6-0 IDLE
8. Washington and Lee 13-3-2 13-3-2 IDLE

Rutgers-Camden should atleast jump to #3 in region.
St. Mary's, Salisbury, CNU from the CAC... With Salisbury not ranked and CNU slotted at 6th, I believe we are looking at a one bid league
ODAC with W&L slotted at 8th, the ODAC also looks to be a one bid league.

CAC
St. Mary's at Salisbury 11/7 2:00 PM

ODAC
W&L vs WVU 11/7 11:00 AM
Roanoke vs Randolph 11/7 2:00 PM (@ W&L)

NJAC
Rutgers-Camden @ MSU 11/7 6:00 PM (MSU webpage only shows LIVE STATS. Here's to hoping for a live stream)

SAA
#8 Sewanee vs. #5 Rhodes 11/6 6:00 pm
#6 Centre at #2 Millsaps 11/6 8:30 pm
Final - (at #2 Millsaps)
Semifinal winners, TBA 11/8

USAC
#4 N.C. Wesleyan at #1 Greensboro 11/6 2:30 pm
#3 Maryville (Tenn.) vs. #2 Methodist, 11/6 11:30 pm
Final - (at #1 Greensboro)
Semifinal winners, TBA 11/8

yurmama69 · November 05, 2015, 11:16:22 AM

Updated USA South Tournament information:

Semifinals - Friday, November 6 (played at Greensboro College)
#4 N.C. Wesleyan vs. #1 Greensboro - 11:30am
#3 Maryville vs. #2 Methodist - 2:30pm

Final - Saturday, November 7 (played at Greensboro College)
Semifinal Winners - 2:00pm

lastguyoffthebench · November 05, 2015, 01:28:05 PM

601   Centre
597   Rutgers-Camden
581   MSU
579   Rutgers-Newark
578   Emory
578   Rowan
578   William Peace
573   TCNJ
571   Stockton
561   Ramapo
560   NJCU
547   York (PA)
541   CNU
536   Kean
535   Frostburg St
535   Salisbury
532   Mary Washington
529   W&L
526   Eastern Mennonite
522   Berry
520   Randolph
520   Southern Virginia
513   VWU
513   Wesley
512   Lynchburg
511   St. Mary's (MD)
508   Piedmont
506   Marymount (VA)
505   Sewanee
499   Rhodes
498   Oglethorpe
497   Methodist
494   Covenant
494   Roanoke
491   Guilford
489   NCWC
486   Shenandoah
485   Bridgewater (VA)
484   Randolph-Macon
473   Birmingham-Southern
473   Emory & Henry
472   Millsaps
470   Hendrix
460   Huntingdon
459   Averett
453   Greensboro
448   Hampden-Sydney
442   Maryville (TN)
438   LaGrange
436   William Paterson
435   Ferrum
423   PSU-Harrisburg

jknezek · November 06, 2015, 12:31:51 PM

I just want to go on record as saying I hate how the ODAC runs the conference tournament. Game tuesday, game saturday, final sunday. This is the first time all season teams will play back to back games and it will be for the conference title. You set the semi on Tuesday! Go Friday night and Sunday. Sure it means one team might have an extra night on the road, but the ODAC is pretty compact. You could do Thursday and Sunday and just send everyone home. Annoys the crud out of me they drop this schedule freak at the end of the tournament and have for quite some time.

Mr.Right · November 06, 2015, 01:11:07 PM

Not to mention 3 games in 6 days will take a toll on the AQ. The team will have to take Monday off and go light practice T,W,Th and travel Friday to play Sat. Not to mention 3 games in 6 days is a great recipe for injuries to pop up at the most inconvenient time.

lastguyoffthebench · November 06, 2015, 04:56:00 PM

Predictions:

CAC: St. Mary's 1, Salisbury 1. St. Mary's win PKs
ODAC: W&L 2, Randolph 0.
NJAC: MSU 2, Rutgers-Camden 1.
SAA: Millsaps 2, Rhodes 1.
USAC: Greensboro 1, Methodist 0.

PaulNewman · November 06, 2015, 05:26:40 PM

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on November 06, 2015, 04:56:00 PM

Predictions:

CAC: St. Mary's 1, Salisbury 1. St. Mary's win PKs
ODAC: W&L 2, Randolph 0.
NJAC: MSU 2, Rutgers-Camden 1.
SAA: Millsaps 2, Rhodes 1.
USAC: Greensboro 1, Methodist 0.

Nothing against the other ODAC teams but really pulling for W&L since looks like the sentiment is no Pool C for the Generals. They have had a NCAA-worthy season, and those don't come around all the time. Feel the same way for the Endicotts and Concordia (Wis) type teams out there who can see their impeccable campaigns blow up in smoke. Greensboro has quietly had a very nice season as well.

jknezek · November 07, 2015, 01:01:37 PM

W&L beats VA Wes 4-2. D3fense playing well. Allowed only 3 SOG but somehow 2 snuck through. Once again W&L dominated the play. The Generals await the winner of Randolph and Roanoke. So far the ODAC chalk has held serve.

jknezek · November 08, 2015, 02:34:41 PM

W&L blowing up Randolph midway through the second half 4-0. Randolph carrying heavy legs from yesterday's 2 OT semi.

jknezek · November 08, 2015, 03:16:12 PM

W&L wins the ODAC 5-2. Definitely lost focus at the end and let Randolph have 2 before slamming the door. Looking forward to where W&L matches up. They could make a bit of noise in the tournament if the defense gets back to its stingy ways. The offense seems to be firing pretty well.

yurmama69 · November 09, 2015, 02:48:36 PM

Amazing free kick for Greensboro College vs Maryville College

https://youtu.be/CEviSgEgWxs?t=33s

lastguyoffthebench · December 14, 2015, 03:23:57 PM

A glance at the South Atlantic Region over the last 5 years...
NCAA
     Reg. Ranked.............Conf. Champ.............Conf. Finalist........ Total NCAA Tournament Wins
MSU......................15........................1..............................2.................................11 (Three Elite 8, One Final 4)
SALISBURY............12........................1..............................2...................................1
RUN......................11........................0..............................1...................................1
CNU......................10........................2..............................0...................................3 (Elite 8)
RUC......................10........................4..............................1...................................9 (Two Elite 8, One Final 4, One NCAA Finalist)
EMORY....................8........................1*............................0...................................1
YORK......................6........................3..............................0...................................4 (Two Sweet 16)
OGLETHORPE...........4........................1..............................0...................................0
TCNJ.......................4........................0..............................0...................................0
GREENSBORO..........0........................1..............................2...................................0
RANDOLPH   ...........0........................1..............................2...................................2 (Sweet 16)
CENTRE..................3........................0..............................2...................................1
W&L.......................1........................1..............................0...................................1
BERRY....................0........................2..............................0...................................1
KEAN     3   0   0
NCWC     3   0   1
ROANOKE     3   1   1
ROWAN     3   0   1
STOCKTON   3   0   0
WPU     3   0   0
MWU     2   0   1
METHODIST   0   2   1
VWU     0   1   1
LYNCHBURG   0   1   1
MILLSAPS     0   1   0
SEWANEE     0   0   1
ST. MARY (MD)   0   0   1
PSU-H'BURGG   0   0   1
MARYVILLE   0   0   1
BIRM-SOUTH   0   0   1

NOTE:   * tied for first with CMU, Wash, and Brandeis. Did not receive AQ.

SAA formed in 2012
CNU left the USAS for CAC in 2013
MSU has been regionally ranked by NCAA every release since 2011.
Lynchburg has not won an NCAA tournament game since reaching the final in 2010
Rowan reached the Sweet 16 in 2001 after reaching the title game in 2000. First round win in 2003. Zero NCAA tournament wins since then
Stockton has four tournament wins since winning the title in 2001. (Elite 8 in 2004); (Round of 32 in 2008).
Greensboro reached the title in 1998. Has 10 NCAA tournament wins since then. (Sweet 16 in '99). (Elite 8 in '04)

lastguyoffthebench · December 14, 2015, 04:22:02 PM

Given the data, I'd rank the programs over the last 5 years as follows:

1) Rutgers-Camden/MSU
2) MSU/Rutgers-Camden
3) York
4) CNU
5) Randolph
6) Salisbury
7) Emory
8) Rutgers-Newark
9) Berry
10) Methodist/Gboro/Noke
----------------------
Watch list: W&L, MSU
Trending Up: W&L, Stockton, Rowan, Kean, Randolph
Trending Down: York, TCNJ, Rutgers-Newark, Lynchburg, NCWC

Up or down: Salisbury, Emory, CNU, Rutgers-Camden? Not sure which direction these programs will go after losing some key pieces, and a coach (Salisbury).

lastguyoffthebench · January 06, 2016, 11:49:11 AM

I was bored one day and weighed the South Atlantic teams over the last 5 years using the following categories; NCAA Regional Ranking (1 pt), Conference Champion (3 pts), Conference Finalist (1 pt), Round of 32 (1 pt), Sweet 16 (2 pts), Elite 8 (4 pts), Final 4 (8 pts), Finalist (16 pts), National Champion (32 pts):

RUC 63pts (ranked 10x in NCAA Regional release) 4 NJAC titles, 1 Finalist, 2 Elite 8, 1 Final Four, 1 Finalist
MSU 50pts (ranked 15x in NCAA Regional release) 1 NJAC title, 2 Finalist, 3 Elite 8, 1 Final Four
CNU 23pts (ranked 10x in NCAA Regional release) 2 Conf titles, 0 Finalist, 1 Sweet 16, 1 Elite 8
YORK 21pts (ranked 6x in NCAA Regional release) 3 CAC titles, 0 Finalist, 2 Sweet 16
SALISBURY 18pts (ranked 12x in NCAA Regional release) 1 CAC title, 2 Finalists; 1 NCAA tournament win in 5 years, but have been ranked 12 times regionally!
EMORY 14pts (ranked 8x in NCAA Regional release) 1 UAA title, 2 Finalists; 1 Round of 32
RUN 13pts (ranked 11x in NCAA Regional release) 0 NJAC titles, 1 Finalist; 1 Round of 32
RANDOLPH 8pts (ranked 0x in NCAA Regional release) 1 ODAC title, 2 Finalist; 1 Sweet 16
BERRY 7pts (ranked 0x in NCAA Regional release) 2 SAA titles, 0 Finalist; 1 Round of 32
METHODIST 7pts (ranked 0x in NCAA Regional release) 2 USAC titles, 1 Finalist; 0 NCAA wins
OGLETHORPE 7pts (ranked 4x in NCAA Regional release) 1 title, 0 Finalist; 0 NCAA wins

Using scoring system of 1-2-4-6-8-12;
RUC - 53 pts
MSU - 48 pts

Using scoring system of 1-2-3-4-5-6;
RUC - 46 pts
MSU - 43 pts

NOTES:
Salisbury 12 regional rankings, but less conference titles than Berry and Methodist with no H2H results...
SAA formed in 2012
CNU left the USAS for CAC in 2013
Lynchburg has not won an NCAA tournament game since reaching the final in 2010
Rowan reached the Sweet 16 in 2001 after reaching the title game in 2000. First round win in 2003. Zero NCAA tournament wins since then
Stockton has four tournament wins since winning the title in 2001. (Elite 8 in 2004); (Round of 32 in 2008).
Greensboro reached the title in 1998. Has 10 NCAA tournament wins since then. (Sweet 16 in '99). (Elite 8 in '04)

just4kix · January 08, 2016, 04:22:33 PM

Lastguy - not sure why "12 regional rankings" for Salisbury is a surprise. What is your point? Salisbury has underperformed in the post-season? They are consistently over-rated in the rankings? The rankings are flawed (shocking)? RUN has been ranked 11 times also with 1 NCAA win but 0 conference titles in 5 years. That inconsistency seems even more worthy of an exclamation point! Wouldn't you agree?

Look at Salisbury's regular season performance – the information available when regional rankings are published. Over the last 5 years, they won the CAC regular season 4 times and were second once. 31-3-6 cumulative record. Over that same time, the Gulls had a .500 record against "quality" non-conference opponents (i.e. those you think might be regionally ranked when you are making up your schedule: RUC, Catholic, Lynchburg, Stockton, F&M, Brockport, Roanoke). Very few bad losses (although a couple this year). That looks like the resume of a regionally ranked team - much of the time - to me.

If you are bored, I suggest you go back and tally all your predictions this year that involved Salisbury. How'd you do?

2015 South Atlantic Region

Mr.Right

just4kix