2015 Mid Atlantic Region

Started by lastguyoffthebench, September 07, 2015, 10:37:02 AM

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backyarddawg

Saw Haverford win 3-0 and run win streak to 12.

Any update on them or people's thoughts?  Are they for real?

lastguyoffthebench


I have them as #2 in the nation.   They are legit.   Early in the season I said Fords would be an elite 8 team within 2-3 years.   With their current form, I see a potential run this season...

backyarddawg

Where are we with the Mid-Atlantic regional rankings this week?

Also can someone give a quick update on playoffs for conferences in Mid-Atlantic region.

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: backyarddawg on November 01, 2015, 04:56:57 PM
Where are we with the Mid-Atlantic regional rankings this week?

Also can someone give a quick update on playoffs for conferences in Mid-Atlantic region.

Let me throw something together for you!

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Landmark Conference:

1. Etown vs 4. Catholic (Nov. 4th @7pm)
2. Scranton vs 3. Susquehanna (Nov. 3rd @7pm)

Winners face off in final on Nov. 7th (I think)

Centennial Conference:

4. Hopkins vs 5. Swat (Nov. 4th @4pm)
1. Haverford vs 4/5 winner (Nov. 7th)
2. F&M vs 3. Dickinson (Nov. 7th)

Winners face off in final on Nov. 8th.

MAC Commonwealth:

4. Arcadia vs 5. Widener (Nov. 2nd @7pm)
1. Lycoming vs 4/5 winner (Nov. 4th @2pm)
2. Messiah vs 3. Lebanon Valley (Nov. 4th @7pm)

Winners face off in final on Nov. 7th.

MAC Freedom:

1. Kings vs 4. Manhattanville (Nov. 4th at 7pm)
2. FDU-Florham vs 3. Eastern (Nov. 4th at 2pm)

Winners face off in final on Nov. 7th.


PaulNewman

Quote from: backyarddawg on November 01, 2015, 04:56:57 PM
Where are we with the Mid-Atlantic regional rankings this week?

Also can someone give a quick update on playoffs for conferences in Mid-Atlantic region.

Hey 'dawg, there's a new website that will answer all of your questions and more.

http://www.d3soccer.com/landing/index


lastguyoffthebench

Cabrini should win their conference

lastguyoffthebench

Third NCAA Ranking Prediction

1. Haverford
2. F&M
3. Lycoming
4. E-town
5. Dickinson
6. Messiah
7. JHU
8. Who knows... Kings?

Does Dickinson bump up to 4th with F&M sliding to 3rd or 5th? 

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on November 01, 2015, 09:02:32 PM
Third NCAA Ranking Prediction

1. Haverford
2. F&M
3. Lycoming
4. E-town
5. Dickinson
6. Messiah
7. JHU
8. Who knows... Kings?

Does Dickinson bump up to 4th with F&M sliding to 3rd or 5th?

Eastern, Cabrini, Kings, Scranton for that 8th slot possibly? It's up in the air.

Mid-Atlantic Fan

NCAA Ranking Prediction -3rd Release---thru 11/1/2015

1. Haverford
2. F&M
3. Lycoming
4. Etown
5. Dickinson
6. Messiah
7. Hopkins
8. Eastern
------------------
Kings, Gettysburg, Scranton, Cabrini, Arcadia

It will be interesting to see how far F&M drops after a 1-1 week and losing last week. It will also be interesting to see how high Dickinson jumps. I do not think they can make it past the #5 spot. 1-4 has been consistent all year and through the first two polls. They also have not lost except for F&M so they should be the only team that should drop. Lycoming and Etown's SOS is both going to continue to drop due to conference play but they keep racking up the wins. If Dickinson loses to F&M in playoffs I do not see them making the NCAA tournament. If Dickinson wins the semi-final and loses in the final it's a toss up. Pool C hopefuls around the country will be cheering for F&M this weekend. And as I said before, I couldn't see F&M losing at home on senior day but Dickinson proved me wrong. Although F&M did dominate the game, just got unlucky and couldn't finish. I do not see F&M losing twice in a row at home to Dickinson but that's why we play the game! A very big upcoming week and weekend. As for the #8 spot in the region it's a toss up at this point. Eastern has dropped 2 of their last 3 and has no chance at an at-large bid. Any of those teams listed could slide into the 8 spot, but Kings, Eastern, Arcadia, and Cabrini's SOS will be right around .500 or below. Scranton's will be good but they have a lot of blemishes on their resume. I am curious to see the committee's decision as this is a very important release.

What we could also see:

1. Haverford----this is a lock
2. Lycoming
3. F&M
4. Etown
5. Dickinson
6. Messiah
7. Eastern
8. Hopkins

F&M could drop to 4 and swap with Etown too, or top 3 could be like this and have Dickinson hop Etown, but I just cant see it happening. Yes, I agree it's a huge win for Dickinson, but they have 1 to many blemishes for me, and the other teams keep winning. How much will they factor the previous 2 polls? Teams that keep winning but SOS might be lower now than poll 1 or 2? Teams that lose but SOS jumps or loss was vs ranked team? I will throw some data together later this afternoon so we can see some comparisons. Once again I am anxious to see what happens, but the original poll up top is what I think we can all expect to see on Wednesday.

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on November 01, 2015, 08:21:32 PM
Cabrini should win their conference

Yes whoever wins the CSAC will be the only bid from that league (most likely Cabrini).

igotthisfeeling

I think we will see F&M drop this week to the 4 spot with the rankings looking like this:
1. Haverford
2. Lycoming - can see them losing semi-final
3. Etown - should cruise through the week
4. F&M
5. Dickinson (great win over F&M but not enough to put ahead of F&M)

Will be interesting to see how the game plays out on Sat when F&M and Dickinson face off again (game at Haverford from what I saw which will make it interesting too) I think F&M will come out on top 2 or 3-0 this time around.

Love conference playoff time - all the crazy stuff happens where people don't expect certain teams to be in Pool C and throws everyone's ideas out the window!
My thoughts on conference winners: Commonwealth - Messiah (not sure they play Lyco in the final...) , Freedom - FDU, Centennial - Haverford, Landmark - Etown.


Mid-Atlantic Fan

Ranking Predictions w/data:

1. Haverford------14-3-0 with 4 wins vs ranked (4-2-0) and SOS(.606) will drop slightly---regular season Centennial champs
2. F&M------------15-2-0 with 2 wins vs ranked (2-2-0) and SOS(.559) will jump
3. Lycoming------ 14-1-2 with 1 win vs ranked (1-1-0) and SOS(.554) will drop slightly---regular season Commonwealth champs
4. Etown----------16-1-1 with 2 wins vs ranked (2-1-0) and SOS(.526) will drop slightly---regular season Landmark champs
5. Dickinson------11-3-3 with 1 win vs ranked (1-2-1) and SOS(.556) will jump slightly
6. Messiah--------13-4-1 with 0 wins vs ranked (0-4-0) and SOS(.593) will drop slightly
7. Hopkins--------10-4-3 with 1 win vs ranked (1-3-2) and SOS(.595) will drop slightly
8. Eastern--------14-2-2 with 2 wins vs ranked (2-0-0) and SOS(.508) will drop

From what I understand the RvR is based off of poll 2 rankings and calculate for poll 3 which is why we don't have that in poll 1. But by the unpublished rankings teams RvR might change a lot, Messiah might have 1 by then if Wash. Lee gets ranked, Hopkins might lose a loss if Newark drops out, Dickinson might gain a win if Mary Washington sneaks in, Lycoming might lose a loss if Eastern drops out and they could gain wins if teams like Geneva and Mt. Aloysius steal a spot, if Scranton sneaks in (which sitting at 8-6-2 I can't see happening) then teams like Etown, Lycoming, Haverford, and Dickinson will all add wins to their RvR. I would love to see the final unpublished rankings as I feel they will be more important and we will see more flux than in previous years.   

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: igotthisfeeling on November 02, 2015, 08:34:15 AM
I think we will see F&M drop this week to the 4 spot with the rankings looking like this:
1. Haverford
2. Lycoming - can see them losing semi-final
3. Etown - should cruise through the week
4. F&M
5. Dickinson (great win over F&M but not enough to put ahead of F&M)


Will be interesting to see how the game plays out on Sat when F&M and Dickinson face off again (game at Haverford from what I saw which will make it interesting too) I think F&M will come out on top 2 or 3-0 this time around.

Love conference playoff time - all the crazy stuff happens where people don't expect certain teams to be in Pool C and throws everyone's ideas out the window!
My thoughts on conference winners: Commonwealth - Messiah (not sure they play Lyco in the final...) , Freedom - FDU, Centennial - Haverford, Landmark - Etown.

That's also a possibility. I am just hesitant dropping F&M that far because of their SOS. Etown will be flirting with .520 and Lycoming will be around .545 while F&M will be closer to .570.

Shooter McGavin

Quote from: igotthisfeeling on November 02, 2015, 08:34:15 AM
I think we will see F&M drop this week to the 4 spot with the rankings looking like this:
1. Haverford
2. Lycoming - can see them losing semi-final
3. Etown - should cruise through the week
4. F&M
5. Dickinson (great win over F&M but not enough to put ahead of F&M)

Will be interesting to see how the game plays out on Sat when F&M and Dickinson face off again (game at Haverford from what I saw which will make it interesting too) I think F&M will come out on top 2 or 3-0 this time around.

Love conference playoff time - all the crazy stuff happens where people don't expect certain teams to be in Pool C and throws everyone's ideas out the window!
My thoughts on conference winners: Commonwealth - Messiah (not sure they play Lyco in the final...) , Freedom - FDU, Centennial - Haverford, Landmark - Etown.

1. Fords
2. F&M
3. Lyco
4. Dickinson
5. Etown
6. Messiah
7. JHU
8. Eastern

F&M wins Centennial, Lyco wins Commonwealth, Manhattanville wins Freedom, Etown wins Landmark, Cabrini wins CSAC