2015 Mid Atlantic Region

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

In 2013, Messiah outshot Lycoming something like 30-2.   Will Lycoming sit back and counter or do they throw the kitchen sink at the Falcons now that the talent seems to be leveled?

If Messiah doesn't come away with the 3 pts, it will be like they are running a 5k with a 50lb backpack.

IMO I think we can expect to see a mix of both. Won't know until tomorrow but I would expect Messiah to have the majority of possession. I doubt we will see 30-2 in shots this time around. My guess is that it will be a pretty even match-up.

[backyarddawg]

Haverford cruises 3-0 over Catholic out shooting them 26-9.

Mid-Atlantic fan being an EU supporter did you play with the Haverford coach who I see graduated under the tool age of Wagner?

Games of the Week:

10/13/15
Gettysburg @ Susquehanna      Both teams desperate for a win...especially Gettysburg.

Other Notable Games:
Catholic @ Haverford   Can the Fords keep it going? I think so.

10/14/15
Messiah @ Lycoming    MACC championship rematch. Probably the GOW for the entire country. MSU vs Kean being the other nationally recognized GOW.

Other Notable Games:
Kings @ FDU    Two top 4 teams in MACF clash. Playoff implications/seeding on the line already.
Arcadia @ Leb Val    LVC has surged back into contention after a horrible non-conference start and Arcadia coming off a big tie vs Lycoming. 
Merchant Marine @ Stevens    Would be a nice rebound game for MM but still think it's too little too late for them.
Scranton @ Dickinson    Would be a nice win for either side.
Neumann @ Cabrini    In the CSAC can a struggling Neumann upend surging Cabrini? I doubt it but we will see.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

No sir I did not. EU was graduate school  won't give away my undergrad alma mater where I played 

[Flying Weasel]

A shame Lycoming doesn't have lights.  Would have liked going to the game.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

A shame Lycoming doesn't have lights.  Would have liked going to the game.

Yes it's rare these days to see schools without lights. I am assuming it has something to do with their field location. The football field does not have lights either from what I hear. They do have live stats and video as I have watched some of their games online already this year. Not the quality of Messiah or Amherst video but it works.

FW, any pregame prediction or thoughts for this match?

[lastguyoffthebench]

MACC: Lycoming (Messiah fails to get a POOL C)
MACF: Manhattanville (UPSET AQ), Eastern snatches POOL C
NEAC: Morrisville St (AQ)
CSAC: Cabrini (AQ)
CC: Haverford (AQ); F&M, Dickinson, JHU POOL C
LANDMARK:  E-town (AQ), Drew possibly getting a POOL C

I just don't see Merchant Marine getting one if they fail to win the Landmark

[lastguyoffthebench]

Keep in mind, Haverford was 9-6-1 and 5th in the NCAA Rankings...

Messiah hasn't beaten any regional ranked, so they need the AQ.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Don't think Morrisville St. is in this region? Merchant Marine is done IMO. Too many blemishes so I don't think they are even in consideration any more. Like the upset pick in the MACF. Definitely could happen. Kings or Manhattanville could upend Eastern. Here's another scenario I have a question about. What if Messiah wins the AQ in the MACC. Does Lycoming get a Pool C then?

[lastguyoffthebench]

Correct on Morrisville St.  I was just looking at the NEAC division as a whole...

E-town could host if they run the table and F&M gets 3 blemishes by the end of the season which to me seems a strong possibility.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Got ya no worries just double checking. Any way you can run the SOS% to compare Eastern vs Lycoming? I am curious to see how they match up with Eastern being Lycoming's only loss this season. Or tell me how to calculate it and I will give it a shot. And is this the 1/3 part or 2/3 part of the formula from earlier posts that the NCAA uses in their criteria? Can you also add in Etown too? I think all 3 will be very close in proximity.

[Mr.Right]

Don't think Morrisville St. is in this region? Merchant Marine is done IMO. Too many blemishes so I don't think they are even in consideration any more. Like the upset pick in the MACF. Definitely could happen. Kings or Manhattanville could upend Eastern. Here's another scenario I have a question about. What if Messiah wins the AQ in the MACC. Does Lycoming get a Pool C then?

Doubtful unless they beat Oneonta.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

What if they tie Oneonta St.?

[lastguyoffthebench]

Lycoming OWP is .557 currently with it increasing to .560 over the remaining games on the schedule

Eastern OWP is .503 currently with it decreasing to .494 over the remaining games on the schedule.  They would need to win the AQ or hope atleast that King's makes it to the Final, because the other teams with near .500 records would not help their case if they were to lose in the final then.

Factor in say semi vs FDU and Final vs Kings = OWP .512 - the mysterious OOWP
Factor in semi vs FDU and Final vs Manhattanville = OWP .497 - the mysterious OOWP.

[Mr.Right]

What if they tie Oneonta St.?

Maalox Maxer on selection Sunday / Monday-------------Translation=Bubble

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Lycoming OWP is .557 currently with it increasing to .560 over the remaining games on the schedule

Eastern OWP is .503 currently with it decreasing to .494 over the remaining games on the schedule.  They would need to win the AQ or hope atleast that King's makes it to the Final, because the other teams with near .500 records would not help their case if they were to lose in the final then.

Factor in say semi vs FDU and Final vs Kings = OWP .512 - the mysterious OOWP
Factor in semi vs FDU and Final vs Manhattanville = OWP .497 - the mysterious OOWP.

+K Last Guy! Thanks for doing that. I figured out of the 3 teams I mentioned that Lyco and Etown would be neck and neck with Eastern behind them. Eastern can't afford to lose AND have the .497 OWP.

So Mr. Right how would they not get in with that kind of SOS, 15+ wins (potentially), and a winning pct above .845? Only loss at the moment to a top 10 Eastern team. TONS of soccer left to be played but if it ended today all 3 of the above are in IMO.