2015 Mid Atlantic Region

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Mid-Atlantic                         Overall Record

1. Franklin & Marshall           14-0-0
@Haverford, @Gettysburg, Dickinson remaining
RvR=2-0-0, SOS=.544
SOS will go up(not sure by how much) and they have 2 more ranked teams to play

2. Lycoming                         12-1-2
Hood, Oneonta St., Widener remaining
RvR=1-1, SOS=.564
SOS will bump slightly and they play 1 more ranked team

3. Elizabethtown                  14-1-1
@Drew, Scranton remaining
RvR=2-1, SOS=.538
SOS will stay around the same, might bump above .54 and they do not play anymore ranked teams

4. Haverford                         11-3-0
F&M, @Ursinus, Swat remaining
RvR=3-3, SOS=.593
SOS will remain the same and they play 1 more ranked team

5. Eastern                            13-0-2
@Kings, Goucher, FDU remaining
RvR=2-0, SOS=.503
SOS will drop or stay the same and they do not play any more ranked teams

6. Dickinson                         9-3-2
@Swat, Muhlenberg, @F&M remaining
RvR=0-2-1, SOS=.562
SOS will slightly bump or stay the same and they play 1 more ranked team

7. Messiah                           10-4-1
@Albright, Stevenson, Alvernia
RvR=0-3, SOS=.624
SOS will drop below .60 most likely and they do not play anymore ranked teams

8. Johns Hopkins                 8-4-2
@Muhlenberg, McDaniel, @Wash. College
RvR=0-3-2, SOS=.615
SOS will drop just a hair and they do not play anymore ranked teams

As for the teams on the outside looking in. It's probably Drew and Gettysburg. Drew would have a better chance of leap-frogging into the top 8 than Gettysburg IMO.

Drew    11-3-2
@Etown, Moravian remaining
RvR=0-1, SOS=.562
SOS will bump slightly and they have 1 more ranked team to play

Gettysburg     8-4-1
@Wash. College, F&M, McDaniel remaining
RvR=0-3-1, SOS=.533
SOS will bump a tad and they have 1 more ranked team to play


*The record vs division opponents is the same for all teams as their overall record*

This hopefully provides us with a good visual. So my points I was trying to make was that if you are going to consider teams like  Lycoming as a definition of a bubble team then what are teams 3-8 in this region? Even F&M could be a "bubble" team by your definition then if they slip up because of how low their SOS is. Here is my thought process though...

Hopkins at best(not counting conference playoffs) can go 11-4-2. Even if they do that they will end with 0 wins in the RvR category.

Dickinson can go 12-3-2 and finish 1-2-1 RvR at best. I don't anticipate F&M losing on senior day though.

Messiah can be 13-4-1 at best(they will most likely win out IMO) and finish 0-3, 0-4, 1-3/4, or 1-3/4-1 in RvR depending on teams like Wash. Lee, Gettysburg, and CMU.

Eastern can go 16-0-2 and finish with 2-0-0 RvR. SOS will kill them if they need an at-large.

Haverford can go 14-3 and finish 4-3 RvR.

Etown can go 16-1-1 and finish 2-1 RvR.

Lycoming can go 15-1-2 and finish 2-1 RvR

F&M can go 17-0 and finish 4-0 RvR. I think they will drop 1 of their last 3 games though.

So if you are looking at this like I hope you are and should...the only team that is in serious trouble is Eastern. RvR is good. SOS is horrid. Winning % is good.

Hopkins, Messiah, and Dickinson's RvR will hurt them if compared to a team like Etown or Lycoming. And if it comes to a comparison like that Etown has the worse SOS of the 4.

We will see what F&M are made of in the next 3 games.

As for Messiah dropping out, I just don't see it happening. The only reason why is because Dickinson and Hopkins both have 0 wins vs ranked teams and similar records and SOS. Plus there isn't another team at #9 or #10 that can jump into the top 8 to replace any of those teams. That's the main thing we all need to realize. The top 8 are pretty much going to be the top 8 unless 5-8 really slip up in the next week and a half.

Hope everyone enjoys this and hope it provides a good visual and some clarity for everyone that's interested in this region! 

Overall, there is still so much soccer to be played for this region and across the country. I find this region fascinating in how there could be so much movement over the next 2 releases which we don't normally see as FW and Mr. Right pointed out in earlier posts since practically 75% of the season is done.

[D3soccerwatcher]

Saw the following stats on Lycoming today...

Lycoming currently leads all MAC (Freedom and Commonwealth) in total fouls (252) and yellow cards (29).

Among all D3 soccer programs in the country of which there are 411, Lycoming is currently ranked 4th in the country in total fouls and 14th in the country in yellow cards.

[Mr.Right]

Who are the Top 10 in the country in Fouls per game, not actually fouls...Fouls Per game would be a good indicator

[D3soccerwatcher]

Who are the Top 10 in the country in Fouls per game, not actually fouls...Fouls Per game would be a good indicator

Great question.  However, I can not find that stat for all teams in the country to do a ranking.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Saw the following stats on Lycoming today...

Lycoming currently leads all MAC (Freedom and Commonwealth) in total fouls (252) and yellow cards (29).

Among all D3 soccer programs in the country of which there are 411, Lycoming is currently ranked 4th in the country in total fouls and 14th in the country in yellow cards.

And you're point is?

[lastguyoffthebench]

Who are the Top 10 in the country in Fouls per game, not actually fouls...Fouls Per game would be a good indicator

Great question.  However, I can not find that stat for all teams in the country to do a ranking.

I mean if you really wanted to you could check the cumulative stats on the conference webpages...

[lastguyoffthebench]

FOULS   GP   No.   Avg/G
1.   Rowan           17   313   18.41
2.   Montclair State   17   238   14.00
3.   Kean                   17   230   13.53
4.   New Jersey City   15   212   14.13
5.   Ramapo           17   208   12.24
6.   Rutgers-Camden17   206   12.12
7.   Rutgers-Newark   18   204   11.33
8.   Stockton           17   199   11.71
9.   William Paterson   15   159   10.60
10.   The College ofNJ15   137   9.13

[lastguyoffthebench]

Miseri falls to FDU-Florham 5-3, also on the MACF Conf tourney bubble

[backyarddawg]

Congrats Skip Roderick with 500 wins.

[D3soccerwatcher]

Saw the following stats on Lycoming today...

Lycoming currently leads all MAC (Freedom and Commonwealth) in total fouls (252) and yellow cards (29).

Among all D3 soccer programs in the country of which there are 411, Lycoming is currently ranked 4th in the country in total fouls and 14th in the country in yellow cards.

And you're point is?

My point is they foul a lot and get cautioned by the ref a lot.  Much more then most teams in the country.  I didn't make a judgement call on that information, I just stated the facts.

[D3soccerwatcher]

FOULS   GP   No.   Avg/G
1.   Rowan           17   313   18.41
2.   Montclair State   17   238   14.00
3.   Kean                   17   230   13.53
4.   New Jersey City   15   212   14.13
5.   Ramapo           17   208   12.24
6.   Rutgers-Camden17   206   12.12
7.   Rutgers-Newark   18   204   11.33
8.   Stockton           17   199   11.71
9.   William Paterson   15   159   10.60
10.   The College ofNJ15   137   9.13

Lycoming:
16.75 fouls per game
2.06 yellow cards per game

[backyarddawg]

Where does Haverford's win over F&M put them in NCAA rankings?  They will have highest SOS of top 4 and now above 80% winning percentage.

With Wesleyan losing twice they are out of ranking and with win should make them 5-2.

LGOTB, Mr. Right, MAF thoughts?

[lastguyoffthebench]

1. F&M
2. Haverford
3. Lycoming
4. E-town
5. Eastern
6. Messiah
7. Dickinson
8. JHU.  Does Kings break in with loss to Miseri but win over Eastern? SOS will improve, but may not be .500

[Shooter McGavin]

Saw the following stats on Lycoming today...

Lycoming currently leads all MAC (Freedom and Commonwealth) in total fouls (252) and yellow cards (29).

Among all D3 soccer programs in the country of which there are 411, Lycoming is currently ranked 4th in the country in total fouls and 14th in the country in yellow cards.

Sounds like you were insinuating something...that's a waste of a post and dumb stat to talk about. Stop wasting you're time.

And you're point is?

My point is they foul a lot and get cautioned by the ref a lot.  Much more then most teams in the country.  I didn't make a judgement call on that information, I just stated the facts.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Saw the following stats on Lycoming today...

Lycoming currently leads all MAC (Freedom and Commonwealth) in total fouls (252) and yellow cards (29).

Among all D3 soccer programs in the country of which there are 411, Lycoming is currently ranked 4th in the country in total fouls and 14th in the country in yellow cards.

And you're point is?

My point is they foul a lot and get cautioned by the ref a lot.  Much more then most teams in the country.  I didn't make a judgement call on that information, I just stated the facts.

Well that's an interesting stat to bring up out of the blue. Seems like you aren't a fan of them from other posts I have read by you in regards to them. Any reason why? Mr. Right gives justifications to his opinions at least when asked about particular teams so you know where he is coming from. Would love to hear your thoughts.