Pool C -- 2015

[wally_wabash]

The Week 5 update to the B/C Eliminator table.  Here is a peek at the logic we are trying to apply as we go through this week to week:

1. Two-loss teams can make the tournament as Pool Cs
2. Three-loss teams never have
3. The last-time we had a conference get three teams in, the 3rd best team was the Pool A.

And with those three main points in mind:

- Three loss teams are automatically out.
- Two-loss teams are still in, unless those teams are already behind a pair of zero or one-loss teams in their own conference.  I think we're pretty close to adhering to this absolutely, but there may be a case here and there where we've knocked out a two-loss team that isn't going accumulate other useful criteria such as high SOS or wins vs. RROs. 

Thanks again to ExTartanPlayer and Bombers798891 for working through this with me.  Teams that we believe are out of at-large contention are in red, teams that I believe are still alive are in green, and Pool B eligible teams are marked with an asterisk(*), all as of Week 5 results.  And this week I've italicized teams that were newly eliminated.

CCIW	HCAC	MIAA	NACC	NCAC	OAC
Carthage	Earlham	Hope	Cocnordia(Wis)	Allegheny	Muskingum
Augustana	Hanover	Alma	Aurora	Hiram	Marietta
North Park	Bluffton	Kalamazoo	Wis Lutheran	Wooster	Heidelberg
Millikin	Anderson	Adrian	Benedictine	Oberlin	Wilmington
North Central	Defiance	Trine	Lakeland	OWU	B-W
Elmhurst	MSJ	Olivet	CUC	Kenyon	Otterbein
Wheaton	Manchester	Albion	Rockford	Witt	Capital
IWU	Franklin			Denison	ONU
	RHIT			Wabash	Mount Union
				DePauw	John Carroll

IIAC	IND	MIAC	MWC	NWC	SCIAC	UMAC	WIAC
BVC	Finlandia*	St. Olaf	Lawrence	L&C	Redlands	IWC	Eau Claire
Dubuque	Maranatha*	Carleton	Macalester	Willamette	Chapman	Martin Luther	River Falls
Loras		Hamline	Carroll	PLU	Whittier	Greenville	La Crosse
Coe		Augsburg	Ripon	UPS	P-PC	Crown	Stout
Simpson		C-MC	Beloit	Pacific	CMS	MacMurray	SP
Luther		St. John's	Grinnell	George Fox	Laverne	Eureka	Oshkosh
Central		Bethel	Lake Forest	Whitworth	Occidental	Minn-Morris	Platteville
Wartburg		St. Thomas	IC	Linfield	Cal Lutheran	SSC	Whitewater
		Gustavus Adolphus	Cornell			Westminster
			Knox			Northwestern
			Monmouth
			St. Norbert

ASC	CC	ODAC	PAC	SAA	SCAC	USAC
LC*	McDaniel	Randolph-Macon	Grove City	Sewanee	Southwestern*	Averett
Bellhaven*	Juniata	Catholic	Thiel	Millsaps	Austin*	Ferrum
HPU*	Dickinson	E&H	Waynesburg	Hendrix	TLU*	NCWC
SRSU*	Ursinus	Bridgewater	CMU	Rhodes	Trinity*	LaGrange
McMurry*	Susquehenna	H-SC	Bethany	WashU		Greensboro
ETBU*	Muhlenberg	W&L	St. Vincent	B-SC		Huntingdon
UMHB*	Moravian	Shenandoah	Westminster	Centre		Methodist
H-SU*	Gettysburg	Guilford	Geneva	Berry		Maryville
	F&M		CWRU	Chicago
	Johns Hopkins		Thomas More
			W&J

ECFC	Empire 8	IND	LL	MAC	MASCAC	NEFC	NJAC
Mount Ida	Buffalo St.	Alfred St.*	Union	Misericordia	Worcester State	Curry	So Virginia
Anna Maria	Hartwick		St. Lawrence	Wilkes	Plymouth State	Nichols	TCNJ
Norwich	SJF		RPI	Leb Valley	Westfield State	Maine Maritime	Montclair St.
Gallaudet	Utica		USMMA	Lycoming	Bridgewater St.	Salve Regina	Salisbury
Husson	Morrisville St.		Springfield	King's	Western Conn.	MIT	WPU
Castleton	Brockport St.		WPI	FDU-F	Mass-Dartmouth	Endicott	CNU
Becker	Alfred		Hobart	Widener	Mass-Maritime	Coast Guard	Frostburg St.
SUNY-MC	Ithaca		Rochester	Del Valley	Framingham St.	Western NE	Rowan
	Cortland St.			Albright	Fitchburg State		Kean
				Stevenson			Wesley

[wally_wabash]

This week's eliminations:
WashU
Centre
Birmingham-Southern
Methodist
Hartwick
St. John Fisher
Merchant Marine
Worcester Poly
FDU-Florham
William Patterson
Christopher Newport

And then there's Ohio Northern who we moved back into the "still alive" group.  After further review, ONU is a team that can finish 8-2 and possibly have two wins over RROs (Utica, JCU) and that's plenty to be still in play.  My bad on knocking ONU last week.  That was hasty. 

All told we've still got 72 teams in play for those 7 at-large bids.  The regional breakdown is:
North - 13
West - 15
South - 23
East 21

[Ralph Turner]

McMurry is Re-classifying and Belhaven is Provisional.  They are not eligible.  Thanks.

[wally_wabash]

McMurry is Re-classifying and Belhaven is Provisional.  They are not eligible.  Thanks.

Thanks for the clarification, Ralph.  I presume Finlandia is also not eligible as long as we're tidying up those loose ends.  Either way, those teams aren't playing the postseason so for this exercise, we're all good. 

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

McMurry is Re-classifying and Belhaven is Provisional.  They are not eligible.  Thanks.

Thanks for the clarification, Ralph.  I presume Finlandia is also not eligible as long as we're tidying up those loose ends.  Either way, those teams aren't playing the postseason so for this exercise, we're all good.

Finlandia isn't reclassifying... they're already a full fledged D3 school so I think they should be eligible. We had this discussion over on the basketball boards I believe last year.

[Pat Coleman]

Finlandia is eligible.

[Mr. Ypsi]

McMurry is Re-classifying and Belhaven is Provisional.  They are not eligible.  Thanks.

Thanks for the clarification, Ralph.  I presume Finlandia is also not eligible as long as we're tidying up those loose ends.  Either way, those teams aren't playing the postseason so for this exercise, we're all good.

Finlandia isn't reclassifying... they're already a full fledged D3 school so I think they should be eligible. We had this discussion over on the basketball boards I believe last year.

Yep.  And (although I doubt it had any effect) I'm proud of my efforts to get them reclassified as West Region.  They have numerous West region opponents far closer than their nearest Central (or North or Great Lakes, depending on sport) opponent, Alma, who is WAY over 300 miles (including the Mackinac Bridge, which can be very treacherous during basketball season).  And a HUGE salute to Suomi College (Finlandia, for those who refuse to acknowledge history - all stamp collectors should be aware that Suomi is Finnish for Finland) for winning in only the fifth game of their history.

[wally_wabash]

Some key week 6 games in the at-large universe to keep an eye on:

Wittenberg @ DePauw
Ohio Northern @ Mount Union
UW-Whitewater @ UW-Oshkosh
UW-Stevens Point @ UW-Platteville
Berry @ Chicago
Shenandoah @ Guilford
Bridgewater @ Emory & Henry
Washington & Lee @ Hampden-Sydney
Rhodes @ WashU
TLU @ ETBU
Rowan @ Salisbury
Hobart @ Springfield
Stevenson @ Delaware Valley
And the dc1 West Coast Special™: Pacific @ Linfield 

[desertcat1]

Some key week 6 games in the at-large universe to keep an eye on:

Wittenberg @ DePauw
Ohio Northern @ Mount Union
UW-Whitewater @ UW-Oshkosh
UW-Stevens Point @ UW-Platteville
Berry @ Chicago
Shenandoah @ Guilford
Bridgewater @ Emory & Henry
Washington & Lee @ Hampden-Sydney
Rhodes @ WashU
TLU @ ETBU
Rowan @ Salisbury
Hobart @ Springfield
Stevenson @ Delaware Valley
And the dc1 West Coast Special™: Pacific @ Linfield 

u'da   man wally,

it should be a real DOG N CAT fight. 
Go Cats
Go BIG D

[Ralph Turner]

Some key week 6 games in the at-large universe to keep an eye on:

Wittenberg @ DePauw
Ohio Northern @ Mount Union
UW-Whitewater @ UW-Oshkosh  but not UWW, yet.
UW-Stevens Point @ UW-Platteville
Berry @ Chicago  not yet
Shenandoah @ Guilford
Bridgewater @ Emory & Henry
Washington & Lee @ Hampden-Sydney  (Wow!)
Rhodes @ WashU
TLU @ ETBU
Rowan @ Salisbury  not yet
Hobart @ Springfield
Stevenson @ Delaware Valley
And the dc1 West Coast Special™: Pacific @ Linfield 

So far....
(+1 Wally)

[wally_wabash]

Some other important results from Saturday:
Carthage 31, Elmhurst 17
Buffalo State 29, Cortland State 21
Springfield 35, Hobart 13
Southwestern 35, Austin 28
NC Wesleyan 24, Maryville 7 (!!)
SJF 34, Morrisville St. 29
Utica 22, Brockport St. 19

[Ralph Turner]

Excellent work!

One suggestion: consider placing an asterisk by the teams that can also get in through Pool B.  If I am reading the handbook correctly, this would be the three independents (Finlandia, Maranatha, and Alfred State), and the teams in the ASC and SCAC.  Currently there are 5 teams remaining out of this Pool B bunch (in no particular order):

1. UMHB
2. H-SC
3. Austin
4. TLU
5. Trinity

Can you share the URL to the 2015 D-3 Football Handbook?

Thanks.

[wally_wabash]

Excellent work!

One suggestion: consider placing an asterisk by the teams that can also get in through Pool B.  If I am reading the handbook correctly, this would be the three independents (Finlandia, Maranatha, and Alfred State), and the teams in the ASC and SCAC.  Currently there are 5 teams remaining out of this Pool B bunch (in no particular order):

1. UMHB
2. H-SC
3. Austin
4. TLU
5. Trinity

Can you share the URL to the 2015 D-3 Football Handbook?

Thanks.

Ralph-

Here you go.  

[art76]

Wally, anything of importance to report here this week?

[wally_wabash]

Absolutely!  I'll be pushing an update to the Eliminator table this evening.