Pool C -- 2015

Started by wally_wabash, September 29, 2015, 08:59:25 PM

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jknezek

Quote from: emma17 on November 09, 2015, 11:53:57 AM
^^
I don't think it's worth the headache to bang your head against the wall if people happen to call the regions by geographic names. 
It's likely 02 gets it, but refers the regions geographically.  And, if 50% or more teams that make up a bracket are from the same geographic region, I see no problem identifying it by the neighborhood from which the majority of teams reside.

He gets it. But lots of people don't. Or don't want to. And so it muddies up the waters when you are trying to explain it to other people. Last year UMU's bracket was:

Wheaton (north)
Benedictine (north)
Centre (South)
JCU (north)
Witt (north)
W&J (south)
Adrian (north)
UMU (north)

So was that the north bracket? Better yet, look at Linfield's bracket:

Widener (east)
Muhlenberg (east)
CNU (south)
Del Val (east)
Linfield (west)
Chapman (west)
TLU (south)
UMHB( south)

What do you call that? 3 east, 3 south, 2 west. 


wally_wabash

Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

Haha.  Agreed.  Unless something weird happens and Hopkins gets picked as a #1 seed.  That's about as east as you can get.  But of course Hopkins is South.  Easy to see how this is really confusing for a lot of people.  :)
"Nothing in the world is more expensive than free."- The Deacon of HBO's The Wire

jknezek

Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

+K as well

Pat Coleman

Quote from: wally_wabash on November 09, 2015, 12:01:06 PM
Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

Haha.  Agreed.  Unless something weird happens and Hopkins gets picked as a #1 seed.  That's about as east as you can get.  But of course Hopkins is South.  Easy to see how this is really confusing for a lot of people.  :)

To clarify, I don't think JHU will be a No. 1 seed.
Publisher. Questions? Check our FAQ for D3f, D3h.
Quote from: old 40 on September 25, 2007, 08:23:57 PMLet's discuss (sports) in a positive way, sometimes kidding each other with no disrespect.

02 Warhawk

Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

East Pat...don't give Wally and ExTar an aneurysm now.  ::)

(I was basically trying to say the same thing)

ExTartanPlayer

Quote from: jknezek on November 09, 2015, 12:00:42 PM
Quote from: emma17 on November 09, 2015, 11:53:57 AM
^^
I don't think it's worth the headache to bang your head against the wall if people happen to call the regions by geographic names. 
It's likely 02 gets it, but refers the regions geographically.  And, if 50% or more teams that make up a bracket are from the same geographic region, I see no problem identifying it by the neighborhood from which the majority of teams reside.

He gets it. But lots of people don't. Or don't want to. And so it muddies up the waters when you are trying to explain it to other people. Last year UMU's bracket was:

Wheaton (north)
Benedictine (north)
Centre (South)
JCU (north)
Witt (north)
W&J (south)
Adrian (north)
UMU (north)

So was that the north bracket? Better yet, look at Linfield's bracket:

Widener (east)
Muhlenberg (east)
CNU (south)
Del Val (east)
Linfield (west)
Chapman (west)
TLU (south)
UMHB( south)

What do you call that? 3 east, 3 south, 2 west.

We should give them cool names like Legends and Leaders.

Or better yet, name them for legendary figures of D3 football.  The Kehres bracket, the Gagliardi bracket, etc.
I was small but made up for it by being slow...

http://athletics.cmu.edu/sports/fball/2011-12/releases/20120629a4jaxa

wally_wabash

Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 12:03:44 PM
Quote from: wally_wabash on November 09, 2015, 12:01:06 PM
Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

Haha.  Agreed.  Unless something weird happens and Hopkins gets picked as a #1 seed.  That's about as east as you can get.  But of course Hopkins is South.  Easy to see how this is really confusing for a lot of people.  :)

To clarify, I don't think JHU will be a No. 1 seed.

Oh, I don't either.  Too many really good teams stacked up in the West region.  Hopkins is probably 6th or 7th in line for a #1 seed right now, I'd say.  They should probably be ranked #1 in their region on Wednesday though. 
"Nothing in the world is more expensive than free."- The Deacon of HBO's The Wire

ExTartanPlayer

Quote from: 02 Warhawk on November 09, 2015, 12:04:18 PM
Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 09, 2015, 11:58:00 AM
I think Mount Union will be the easternmost No. 1 seed.

East Pat...don't give Wally and ExTar an aneurysm now.  ::)

(I was basically trying to say the same thing)

Yeah, but here's the funny thing about this: even if Mount is the easternmost #1 seed (they will be), that doesn't necessarily mean they will end up grouped with a bunch of (or even any) East teams.  Look at jknezek's post with the Linfield bracket last year.  If there are only a handful of East teams in the playoffs, it's just as likely that they'll be divided among two or three different quadrants of the bracket as it is that there will be a bracket with "Mount + mostly Eastern teams" in it.
I was small but made up for it by being slow...

http://athletics.cmu.edu/sports/fball/2011-12/releases/20120629a4jaxa

Coolrey

Region I, Region II, Region III, Region IV...simple. 

smedindy

Easy:

Adams
Norris
Patrick
Smythe

And call one side Campbell and the other Wales!

:P

Wabash Always Fights!

wabndy

Here is why. 

East region playoff teams within 500 miles of Alliance, OH:
Johns Hopkins
Cortland/Alfred/St. John Fisher
St. Lawrence (barely)/Hobart. (RPI is just outside the 500 miles)
Albright/Del. Val.
Salisbury/Wesley
Washington & Lee

East region teams not within 500 miles of Alliance:
Framingham State
Norwich
Western New England/Salve Regina

Too many travel dollars are at stake to not to bus as many east region teams into Alliance as possible so that their playoff dreams can die where so many others have died before.

ExTartanPlayer

Quote from: wabndy on November 09, 2015, 12:31:47 PM
Here is why. 

East region playoff teams within 500 miles of Alliance, OH:
Johns Hopkins
Cortland/Alfred/St. John Fisher
St. Lawrence (barely)/Hobart. (RPI is just outside the 500 miles)
Albright/Del. Val.
Salisbury/Wesley
Washington & Lee

East region teams not within 500 miles of Alliance:
Framingham State
Norwich
Western New England/Salve Regina

Too many travel dollars are at stake to not to bus as many east region teams into Alliance as possible so that their playoff dreams can die where so many others have died before.

This is overrated.  Reposting from above:

Widener (east)
Muhlenberg (east)
CNU (south)
Del Val (east)
Linfield (west)
Chapman (west)
TLU (south)
UMHB( south)
I was small but made up for it by being slow...

http://athletics.cmu.edu/sports/fball/2011-12/releases/20120629a4jaxa

wabndy

#492
Quote from: ExTartanPlayer on November 09, 2015, 12:34:16 PM

This is overrated.  Reposting from above:

Apples to oranges.  Let me put a label on these

Atlantic East sub-bracket:
Widener (east)
Muhlenberg (east)
CNU (south)
Del Val (east)
------------------------------------
Island team sub-bracket
Linfield (west)
Chapman (west)
TLU (south)
UMHB( south)
------------------------

Ignore the regional labels and look at the map to see where the geographic clusters fall.  The committee will generally always create a west coast and Texas sub-bracket and then be sure to send the islands to play each other to knock out the extra flight.  For the cost of two flights, the island team subbracket knocks 4 flying teams down to 1 by the quarterfinal round. Last year Mount played a mostly midwest based schedule in part because you had Wesley as a legitimate #1 seed anchoring a very East Region dominated bracket. 

Wesley (East)
Hampden Sydney (South)
MIT (East)
Husson (East)
Johns Hopkins (South)
Rowan (East)
Ithaca (East)
Hobart (East)

With the Wesley loss - Mount basically takes over this bracket.

Ralph Turner


wally_wabash

The Week 10 and final update to the B/C Eliminator table.  Here is a peek at the logic we are trying to apply as we go through this week to week:

1. Two-loss teams can make the tournament as Pool Cs
2. Three-loss teams never have
3. The last-time we had a conference get three teams in, the 3rd best team was the Pool A.

And with those three main points in mind:

- Three loss teams are automatically out.
- Two-loss teams are still in, unless those teams are already behind a pair of zero or one-loss teams in their own conference.  I think we're pretty close to adhering to this absolutely, but there may be a case here and there where we've knocked out a two-loss team that isn't going accumulate other useful criteria such as high SOS or wins vs. RROs. 

Thanks again to ExTartanPlayer and Bombers798891 for working through this with me.  Teams that we believe are out of at-large contention are in red, teams that I believe are still alive are in green, and Pool B eligible teams are marked with an asterisk(*), all as of Week 8 results.  And this week I've italicized teams that were newly eliminated.



   CCIW      HCAC      MIAA      NACC      NCAC      OAC   
   Carthage      Earlham      Hope      Cocnordia(Wis)      Allegheny      Muskingum   
   Augustana      Hanover      Alma      Aurora      Hiram      Marietta   
   North Park      Bluffton      Kalamazoo      Wis Lutheran      Wooster      Heidelberg   
   Millikin      Anderson      Adrian      Benedictine      Oberlin      Wilmington   
   North Central      Defiance      Trine      Lakeland      OWU      B-W   
   Elmhurst      MSJ      Olivet      CUC      Kenyon      Otterbein   
   Wheaton      Manchester      Albion      Rockford      Witt      Capital   
   IWU      Franklin                  Denison      ONU   
         RHIT                  Wabash      Mount Union   
                           DePauw      John Carroll   



   IIAC      IND      MIAC      MWC      NWC      SCIAC      UMAC      WIAC   
   BVC      Finlandia*      St. Olaf      Lawrence      L&C      Redlands      IWC      Eau Claire   
   Dubuque      Maranatha*      Carleton      Macalester      Willamette      Chapman      Martin Luther      River Falls   
   Loras            Hamline      Carroll      PLU      Whittier      Greenville      La Crosse   
   Coe            Augsburg      Ripon      UPS      P-PC      Crown      Stout   
   Simpson            C-MC      Beloit      Pacific      CMS      MacMurray      SP   
   Luther            St. John's      Grinnell      George Fox      Laverne      Eureka      Oshkosh   
   Central            Bethel      Lake Forest      Whitworth      Occidental      Minn-Morris      Platteville   
   Wartburg            St. Thomas      IC      Linfield      Cal Lutheran      SSC      Whitewater   
               Gustavus Adolphus      Cornell                  Westminster         
                     Knox                  Northwestern         
                     Monmouth                           
                     St. Norbert                           



   ASC      CC      ODAC      PAC      SAA      SCAC      USAC   
   LC*      McDaniel      Randolph-Macon      Grove City      Sewanee      Southwestern*      Averett   
   Bellhaven**      Juniata      Catholic      Thiel      Millsaps      Austin*      Ferrum   
   HPU*      Dickinson      E&H      Waynesburg      Hendrix      TLU*      NCWC   
   SRSU*      Ursinus      Bridgewater      CMU      Rhodes      Trinity*      LaGrange   
   McMurry***      Susquehenna      H-SC      Bethany      WashU            Greensboro   
   ETBU*      Muhlenberg      W&L      St. Vincent      B-SC            Huntingdon   
   UMHB*      Moravian      Shenandoah      Westminster      Centre            Methodist   
   H-SU*      Gettysburg      Guilford      Geneva      Berry            Maryville   
         F&M            CWRU      Chicago               
         Johns Hopkins            Thomas More                     
                     W&J                     



   ECFC      Empire 8      IND      LL      MAC      MASCAC      NEFC      NJAC   
   Mount Ida      Buffalo St.      Alfred St.**      Union      Misericordia      Worcester State      Curry      So Virginia   
   Anna Maria      Hartwick            St. Lawrence      Wilkes      Plymouth State      Nichols      TCNJ   
   Norwich      SJF            RPI      Leb Valley      Westfield State      Maine Maritime      Montclair St.   
   Gallaudet      Utica            USMMA      Lycoming      Bridgewater St.      Salve Regina      Salisbury   
   Husson      Morrisville St.            Springfield      King's      Western Conn.      MIT      WPU   
   Castleton      Brockport St.            WPI      FDU-F      Mass-Dartmouth      Endicott      CNU   
   Becker      Alfred            Hobart      Widener      Mass-Maritime      Coast Guard      Frostburg St.   
   SUNY-MC      Ithaca            Rochester      Del Valley      Framingham St.      Western NE      Rowan   
         Cortland St.                  Albright      Fitchburg State            Kean   
                           Stevenson                  Wesley   


** Provisional, ineligible for postseason
*** Reclassifying, ineligible for postseason
"Nothing in the world is more expensive than free."- The Deacon of HBO's The Wire