2016 Schedules

Started by Mid-Atlantic Fan, March 15, 2016, 09:04:03 AM

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lastguyoffthebench

#90
ROWAN

@ Lycoming
vs W&L
vs SUNY Oneonta
@ College of Staten Island
@ John Jay College
@ Hood
@ NJCU
@ F&M
vs WPU
@ Stockton
vs Kean
@ St. Joseph's - LI
@ Montclair St
vs Rutgers-Camden
@ Rutgers-Newark
vs Brooklyn
vs Ramapo
@ TCNJ

Very brutal opening 3 games.  Also at F&M, at Stockton, at MSU, and at Newark...  With this schedule and the amount of road fixtures (eleven), it "should" be a top 3 SOS in the South Atlantic region and a top 5-8 SOS in the nation.   Out of the 18 games... I'd think 8 blemishes before conference tournaments.

Going by last years records:   219-131-22 // .618 // .640 with H&A Factors

.640 has been the highest so far...


NEsoccerfan20

Endicott 2016 Schedule:

Home: Carthage, Husson, Tufts, Curry, Trinity (CT), Roger Williams, Salve, UNE

Away: Umass Dartmouth, Williams, WPI, Eastern Naz, Nichols, Daniel Webster, WNEC, Babson, Wentworth, Gordon


Much stronger schedule for the Gulls this year non conference. Also key with the stronger conference teams on the road. Should have a much higher SOS this year compared to last which was reason they missed out at 15-2-3 overall regular season. Will be interesting to see how they cope with big loses offensively. Defense will be just as good if not better as they return whole back line and goalkeeper. Recruiting class is completely offense as well as two intriguing transfers. Glad they beefed up schedule big time, should be interesting to see results with a very young team.

lastguyoffthebench


HAVERFORD opponents record last year:  187-111-36 // .614 non weighted // .649 weighted


Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on June 20, 2016, 01:04:14 PM

HAVERFORD opponents record last year:  187-111-36 // .614 non weighted // .649 weighted

What is Lycoming's with last years records?

blooter442

Quote from: NEsoccerfan20 on June 20, 2016, 12:02:55 PM
Endicott 2016 Schedule:

Home: Carthage, Husson, Tufts, Curry, Trinity (CT), Roger Williams, Salve, UNE

Away: Umass Dartmouth, Williams, WPI, Eastern Naz, Nichols, Daniel Webster, WNEC, Babson, Wentworth, Gordon


Much stronger schedule for the Gulls this year non conference. Also key with the stronger conference teams on the road. Should have a much higher SOS this year compared to last which was reason they missed out at 15-2-3 overall regular season. Will be interesting to see how they cope with big loses offensively. Defense will be just as good if not better as they return whole back line and goalkeeper. Recruiting class is completely offense as well as two intriguing transfers. Glad they beefed up schedule big time, should be interesting to see results with a very young team.

That's got to be one of the strongest non-conference for a CCC school that I've seen in a while. Three NESCACs, two very solid NEWMACs, and a good NCAA team in Carthage. I think we all pretty much saw the writing on the wall when they lost at home to Gordon in the CCC final, as their non-conference schedule wasn't good enough, but it seems that the message has been received. Better yet, those who played in that game this year can use that as a learning experience, as I think the Gulls had some stage fright, especially after going 1-0 down so early. Getting in that situation a second time with the experience of having been there before could help, and allow them to get the resolve to fight back.

While there are some big losses offensively, very good point about the defense remaining relatively intact. If they can keep things tight at the back and nick some 1-0s along the way, a la Brandeis 2015, I think they could have a very good year. Those CCC playoff games tend to be smash-and-grab, OT decisions, so provided they make it to the postseason I think they could do very well.

lastguyoffthebench

#95
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on April 18, 2016, 10:33:45 AM
Looking at Lyco schedule; 8 home games, 11 road games (vs the likes of F&M, Haverford, Eastern, Messiah, and Oneonta St) bolsters the SOS to around .627.      Just a brutal schedule and strong move by the staff to get some big time games in this season.

Rowan   16   6   0   0.618181818
F&M            17   4   0   1.011904762
Susqu   9   7   2   0.694444444
Eastern   16   3   2   1.011904762
Haverford   18   4   0   1.022727273
Juniata   3   13   1   0.257352941
Scranton   11   7   2   0.51
FSU           11   5   2   0.566666667
CWRU   13   4   1   0.6375
Miseri   7   7   2   0.5859375
Arcadia   11   7   3   0.505
Albright   1   15   1   0.110294118
Alvernia   9   7   6   0.463636364
Messiah   14   5   1   0.90625
Widener   9   10   1   0.59375
LVC           8   10   0   0.377777778
Hood          12   9   0   0.714285714
Oneonta   19   3   2   1.041666667
Stevenson   5   12   1   0.259722222
         209   137   27   0.62711858

Non-weighted = .596
Weighted with H/A factors = .626

I don't remember what Rutgers-Camden was using 2015 results for 2016 schedule, but I believe it was around the same as what Lyco has in line for 2016.


Here you go, MAF...  And to answer my question about Camden for 2016;  SOS is .610 non weighted; .631 weighted...   right in line with Lyco's .626.   

Messiah should have a stronger record this year.  Oneonta may drop a few more games.  Rowan schedule is just brutal. F&M is a mystery to me...

lastguyoffthebench


Brockport with only 6 home games.  I thought the SOS would have been much higher:   Non weighted .578; weighted .603   Getting the strong teams at home hurts the SOS, but definitely increases the chance for W's...  Brockport should be tourney bound.


Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on June 21, 2016, 12:53:42 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on April 18, 2016, 10:33:45 AM
Looking at Lyco schedule; 8 home games, 11 road games (vs the likes of F&M, Haverford, Eastern, Messiah, and Oneonta St) bolsters the SOS to around .627.      Just a brutal schedule and strong move by the staff to get some big time games in this season.

Rowan   16   6   0   0.618181818
F&M            17   4   0   1.011904762
Susqu   9   7   2   0.694444444
Eastern   16   3   2   1.011904762
Haverford   18   4   0   1.022727273
Juniata   3   13   1   0.257352941
Scranton   11   7   2   0.51
FSU           11   5   2   0.566666667
CWRU   13   4   1   0.6375
Miseri   7   7   2   0.5859375
Arcadia   11   7   3   0.505
Albright   1   15   1   0.110294118
Alvernia   9   7   6   0.463636364
Messiah   14   5   1   0.90625
Widener   9   10   1   0.59375
LVC           8   10   0   0.377777778
Hood          12   9   0   0.714285714
Oneonta   19   3   2   1.041666667
Stevenson   5   12   1   0.259722222
         209   137   27   0.62711858

Non-weighted = .596
Weighted with H/A factors = .626

I don't remember what Rutgers-Camden was using 2015 results for 2016 schedule, but I believe it was around the same as what Lyco has in line for 2016.


Here you go, MAF...  And to answer my question about Camden for 2016;  SOS is .610 non weighted; .631 weighted...   right in line with Lyco's .626.   

Messiah should have a stronger record this year.  Oneonta may drop a few more games.  Rowan schedule is just brutal. F&M is a mystery to me...

Thanks LastGuy! I forgot we discussed this some time ago. Lycoming has 8 home and 11 away. F&M, Eastern, Haverford, Messiah, and Oneonta St are all road games which will help boost the resume quite a bit.

I don't recall what I predicted some time ago with what a potential record could be, but looking at it today I am thinking you will see Lycoming around 13-3-3 heading into conference playoffs and they will win the MAC again making it 3 out of the last 4 years for conference championships. This would spark the discussion for a new dynasty in the Commonwealth and the end of a fruitful one with Messiah.

As others have done with worst/best case scenario here is mine:

Best Case: 15-2-2 (very possible)
Worst Case: 8-7-4 (don't anticipate this happening) 
Probable: 13-3-3

Mid-Atlantic Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on June 20, 2016, 12:00:15 PM
ROWAN

@ Lycoming
vs W&L
vs SUNY Oneonta
@ College of Staten Island
@ John Jay College
@ Hood
@ NJCU
@ F&M
vs WPU
@ Stockton
vs Kean
@ St. Joseph's - LI
@ Montclair St
vs Rutgers-Camden
@ Rutgers-Newark
vs Brooklyn
vs Ramapo
@ TCNJ

Very brutal opening 3 games.  Also at F&M, at Stockton, at MSU, and at Newark...  With this schedule and the amount of road fixtures (eleven), it "should" be a top 3 SOS in the South Atlantic region and a top 5-8 SOS in the nation.   Out of the 18 games... I'd think 8 blemishes before conference tournaments.

Going by last years records:   219-131-22 // .618 // .640 with H&A Factors

.640 has been the highest so far...

Best Case: 13-3-2 (Easily dancing)
Worst Case: 9-6-3 (1 too many blemishes)
Probable:  11-4-3 (would lock up a bid in my mind)

I have high expectations for Rowan but the schedule is very, very difficult.

Mid-Atlantic Fan


Mid-Atlantic Fan

Misericordia

http://athletics.misericordia.edu/schedule.aspx?path=msoc

Flirting with the .550 SOS? Just the eye test but haven't calculated anything.

Golden_Fan

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on June 21, 2016, 01:17:35 PM

Brockport with only 6 home games.  I thought the SOS would have been much higher:   Non weighted .578; weighted .603   Getting the strong teams at home hurts the SOS, but definitely increases the chance for W's...  Brockport should be tourney bound.


They definitely could be but they will need to reload big time. They lose their starting keeper of the past 4 years, 2 starting defenders, their top midfielder, top goal scorer,  and two impact players coming off the bench

NEsoccerfan20

Quote from: blooter442 on June 21, 2016, 11:05:31 AM
Quote from: NEsoccerfan20 on June 20, 2016, 12:02:55 PM
Endicott 2016 Schedule:

Home: Carthage, Husson, Tufts, Curry, Trinity (CT), Roger Williams, Salve, UNE

Away: Umass Dartmouth, Williams, WPI, Eastern Naz, Nichols, Daniel Webster, WNEC, Babson, Wentworth, Gordon


Much stronger schedule for the Gulls this year non conference. Also key with the stronger conference teams on the road. Should have a much higher SOS this year compared to last which was reason they missed out at 15-2-3 overall regular season. Will be interesting to see how they cope with big loses offensively. Defense will be just as good if not better as they return whole back line and goalkeeper. Recruiting class is completely offense as well as two intriguing transfers. Glad they beefed up schedule big time, should be interesting to see results with a very young team.

That's got to be one of the strongest non-conference for a CCC school that I've seen in a while. Three NESCACs, two very solid NEWMACs, and a good NCAA team in Carthage. I think we all pretty much saw the writing on the wall when they lost at home to Gordon in the CCC final, as their non-conference schedule wasn't good enough, but it seems that the message has been received. Better yet, those who played in that game this year can use that as a learning experience, as I think the Gulls had some stage fright, especially after going 1-0 down so early. Getting in that situation a second time with the experience of having been there before could help, and allow them to get the resolve to fight back.

While there are some big losses offensively, very good point about the defense remaining relatively intact. If they can keep things tight at the back and nick some 1-0s along the way, a la Brandeis 2015, I think they could have a very good year. Those CCC playoff games tend to be smash-and-grab, OT decisions, so provided they make it to the postseason I think they could do very well.




Very glad to see them go for it with a tough schedule. I think guys like Ocko and Weinstein can have very big years and lead them to having a very successful season. Gordon will be as good if not a lot better as they return practically everyone but that'll be an intriguing conference battle again. Endicott if they can win 11/12 games has a very good shot for an at large if they come up short again. I think this is a program to watch over the next few years as they seem to be building.

Shooter McGavin

I have noticed a lot of crossover between teams playing one another for non-conference. This may be vital come selection time if teams are on the bubble for spots. Some examples of common opponents for teams are as follows:

Rowan playing vs F&M, Lycoming, Oneonta St, Hood, Camden
Lycoming playing vs F&M, Rowan, Oneonta St, Haverford, Scranton, Hood, Misericordia, Susquehanna, Alvernia, Messiah
F&M playing vs Rowan, Lycoming, Haverford that we know of so far, assuming Etown again
Scranton playing vs Lycoming, Misericordia, Susquehanna, Etown
Haverford playing vs Lycoming, F&M, Alvernia, Scranton
Camden playing vs Haverford, Misericordia, Alvernia, Rowan
Messiah playing vs Lycoming, Alvernia, Hood, Misericordia, Etown

Lots of teams playing common opponents which isn't unusual but the point I am getting at is that lots of common opponents that are good programs playing other good programs for the majority of these games. How much do you think this will factor in on selection day? It could get messy! But teams will really have an opportunity to separate themselves from the pack with these games.