Mid-Atlantic Region 2016

[phillyfan12]

Predictions


Messiah@Leb Val------------3-1 Messiah
Arcadia@Lyco---------------2-1 Lyco
Etown@Scranton-----------2-1 Scranton OT
Gettys@Fords-------------2-2
Muhles@F&M--------------2-0 F&M
Wash@McDaniel-----------2-1 Wash
Ursinus@Swat-------------2-0 Swat
Dickinson@JHU------------3-2 JHU

I think Messiah will be flying high after the Etown victory. I don't think Leb Val will provide enough resistance in this one.

Lyco bounces back from their defeat to escape against Arcadia but I'm not sold on Lyco at all.

Speaking of not sold... I'm not sold on Etown and I think Scranton sneaks in here with a victory. They beat them last year in the conference tournament and I think they step up again.

Gettysburg is a dangerous team with plenty of attacking weapons. I'm not sure the Fords have the firepower to match Henry Smith and co. but they've been finding a way to get results and I think they squeeze a tie out here. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Gettysburg bounce back from the Hopkins loss with a win but I also wouldn't be surprised for the Fords to continue to find a way, I'm just not yet sold on them.

I think Muhlenberg will provide a test for F&M but the Dips have enough firepower to walk away with a W here. The Centennial has been up and down this season with some weird results but I think order is restored here, although the game is closer than the 2-0 scoreline appears.

Hopkins keeps rolling in a high scoring affair. What has become of Dickinson? Coach Redding has to be ripping his hair out with this start to the season. Hopkins is an up and down team but I'm picking them to keep the momentum from Gettysburg rolling.

[NEPAFAN]

Welcome to the board Phillyfan....In Wentz we trust!

[phillyfan12]

Welcome to the board Phillyfan....In Wentz we trust!

Trust. The. Process.

[rudy]

Wet conditions today..must have impacted the games..but gotta play them anyway..

Haverford edges Gettysburg 3-2 in OT to get the win

Messiah 1-0 over LVC
Etown 2-1 over Scranton
F&M 3-2 over Muhl in OT

Had Haverford or F&M  lost I think we would have seen Messiah push ahead of them in regional rankings with Messiah recent wins over Etown and LVC.  But likely top 3 will be F&M, Haverford, Messiah. Etown should be behind Messiah maybe drop lower than 4

[Flying Weasel]

Lyco held to 1-1 tie at home on Homecoming weekend by visiting Arcadia.  Lyco now has 6 blemishes at 5-3-3 after 11 matches versus just four blemishes all last year in 22 matches (18-2-2).  Their defense is giving up almost two more SOG each game (5.2 vs. 3.4 in 2015) and that's something the Warriors can't afford with the goalkeepeers they have.  Save Pct. is down from a weak .824 last year to an even more porous .765 this year (last year's starter has not played in a bunch of games, not sure if this is injury or performance based).

Misericordia is 5-0-1 at home (wins over York, RUC, Lyco) and 1-3-0 on the road (losses at LVC, Arcadia, Scranton) and has just two remaining home games against six roads games.  All those away matches are very winnable, especially with Dickinson struggling this season, but we'll see how the Cougars manage.  Manhattanville next Saturday may be the biggest road test.

LVC looked pretty good against Messiah and created sufficient danger and opportunities to have tied and even won.  Messiah still was the better side, but needed to score a second and just never got the job done and that made for a nervy game to the final whistle.  Conditions weren't good, playing in the rain and with footing very precarious throughout, so not fair to judge either team on the basis of this game.  But to the extent that conclusions can be drawn from the game, LVC looked like they could give most teams a fight and a team no opponent should look past.

[Falconer]

Lyco held to 1-1 tie at home on Homecoming weekend by visiting Arcadia.  Lyco now has 6 blemishes at 5-3-3 after 11 matches versus just four blemishes all last year in 22 matches (18-2-2).  Their defense is giving up almost two more SOG each game (5.2 vs. 3.4 in 2015) and that's something the Warriors can't afford with the goalkeepeers they have.  Save Pct. is down from a weak .824 last year to an even more porous .765 this year (last year's starter has not played in a bunch of games, not sure if this is injury or performance based).

Misericordia is 5-0-1 at home (wins over York, RUC, Lyco) and 1-3-0 on the road (losses at LVC, Arcadia, Scranton) and has just two remaining home games against six roads games.  All those away matches are very winnable, especially with Dickinson struggling this season, but we'll see how the Cougars manage.  Manhattanville next Saturday may be the biggest road test.

LVC looked pretty good against Messiah and created sufficient danger and opportunities to have tied and even won.  Messiah still was the better side, but needed to score a second and just never got the job done and that made for a nervy game to the final whistle.  Conditions weren't good, playing in the rain and with footing very precarious throughout, so not fair to judge either team on the basis of this game.  But to the extent that conclusions can be drawn from the game, LVC looked like they could give most teams a fight and a team no opponent should look past.

Yes, LVC looked as good as their record.  As for scoring chances, it should be noted that two of the five key attackers for Messiah didn't play a single minute--Plaza and Thomas.  They must have been hurt vs Etown or in a subsequent practice.  Thomas was replaced on the right wing by Cochrane, who had been playing in the exact opposite position (left outside back), where he had been replacing another man who is still injured, namely, freshman Quintin (Rudy's son).  So, the Falcons are currently down 3 starters, two on offense, including their most dangerous player (IMO), Colby Thomas.  The lack of a second scoring chance surely has something to do with LVC's defensive toughness and the miserable weather (which usually hurts the Falcons more than their opponents), but also IMO the loss of these 3 starters.  Quintin is excellent with the ball at his feet, and he comes fairly far up when attacking, so his loss also counts on the offensive end.

[rudy]

Lyco held to 1-1 tie at home on Homecoming weekend by visiting Arcadia.  Lyco now has 6 blemishes at 5-3-3 after 11 matches versus just four blemishes all last year in 22 matches (18-2-2).  Their defense is giving up almost two more SOG each game (5.2 vs. 3.4 in 2015) and that's something the Warriors can't afford with the goalkeepeers they have.  Save Pct. is down from a weak .824 last year to an even more porous .765 this year (last year's starter has not played in a bunch of games, not sure if this is injury or performance based).

Misericordia is 5-0-1 at home (wins over York, RUC, Lyco) and 1-3-0 on the road (losses at LVC, Arcadia, Scranton) and has just two remaining home games against six roads games.  All those away matches are very winnable, especially with Dickinson struggling this season, but we'll see how the Cougars manage.  Manhattanville next Saturday may be the biggest road test.

LVC looked pretty good against Messiah and created sufficient danger and opportunities to have tied and even won.  Messiah still was the better side, but needed to score a second and just never got the job done and that made for a nervy game to the final whistle.  Conditions weren't good, playing in the rain and with footing very precarious throughout, so not fair to judge either team on the basis of this game.  But to the extent that conclusions can be drawn from the game, LVC looked like they could give most teams a fight and a team no opponent should look past.

Yes, LVC looked as good as their record.  As for scoring chances, it should be noted that two of the five key attackers for Messiah didn't play a single minute--Plaza and Thomas.  They must have been hurt vs Etown or in a subsequent practice.  Thomas was replaced on the right wing by Cochrane, who had been playing in the exact opposite position (left outside back), where he had been replacing another man who is still injured, namely, freshman Quintin (Rudy's son).  So, the Falcons are currently down 3 starters, two on offense, including their most dangerous player (IMO), Colby Thomas.  The lack of a second scoring chance surely has something to do with LVC's defensive toughness and the miserable weather (which usually hurts the Falcons more than their opponents), but also IMO the loss of these 3 starters.  Quintin is excellent with the ball at his feet, and he comes fairly far up when attacking, so his loss also counts on the offensive end.

I watched some of the game and did not realize Colby was out. Video quality not great and kept dropping. I thought I saw him in the game... guess not. Shay should be back soon..maybe a week or so. And Plaza is fighting nagging groin injury I think.  Messiah has good depth so they can withstand a few injuries better than some. Hopefully Colby will not be out more games though!

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Lyco held to 1-1 tie at home on Homecoming weekend by visiting Arcadia.  Lyco now has 6 blemishes at 5-3-3 after 11 matches versus just four blemishes all last year in 22 matches (18-2-2).  Their defense is giving up almost two more SOG each game (5.2 vs. 3.4 in 2015) and that's something the Warriors can't afford with the goalkeepeers they have.  Save Pct. is down from a weak .824 last year to an even more porous .765 this year (last year's starter has not played in a bunch of games, not sure if this is injury or performance based).

They are done. It's win the AQ or nothing for the Warriors this year. Probably the biggest disappointment in the region by far.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

MAF Power Rankings
1. Fords
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Etown
5. Scranton
6. Eastern
7. Hopkins
8. Manhattanville
9. Leb Val
10. Misericordia

[Shooter McGavin]

Shooter's Take
1. Messiah
2. Fords
3. F&M
4. Etown
5. Scranton
6. Eastern
7. LVC
8. Misericordia
9. Hopkins
10. Lycoming
HM: Manhattanville, Hood, Drew, Arcadia, Gettysburg

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

October 4, 2016
D3soccer.com Men's Top 25, Week 5
Through games of Sunday, October 2, 2016

#   School (1st Pl. Votes)   Record   Pts.   Prev.
1   Chicago (12)   11-0-0   980   4
2   Trinity (Texas) (4)   11-0-0   950   5
3   Rowan (3)   10-0-1   920   1
4   Ohio Northern   11-0-1   886   6
5   Washington & Lee   8-1-0   828   7
6   Calvin   9-1-0   790   8
7   St. Lawrence   9-1-0   750   9
8   Amherst   7-1-1   700   3
9   Mass-Boston (1)   10-0-0   684   10
10   Franklin & Marshall   7-1-3   555   14
11   Kenyon   8-2-0   523   2
12   Haverford   7-1-2   515   15
13   Messiah   7-0-3   504   20
14   Middlebury   5-0-2   502   12
15   Washington U.   6-0-1   476   17
16   Chris. Newport   9-2-0   470   16
17   Carnegie Mellon   7-1-1   319   18
18   Macalester   8-1-2   302   11
19   Lynchburg   7-0-2   275   25
20   Rochester   7-0-2   256   —
21   Oneonta State   8-2-1   241   21
22   Elizabethtown   6-2-1   198   19
23   Colorado College   8-1-1   195   —
24   St. Thomas   9-0-2   125   —
25   Capital   9-1-0   100   —
Dropped out: No. 13 Ohio Wesleyan, No. 22 Plattsburgh State, No. 23 Brandeis, No. 24 Loras

Receiving Votes: Ohio Wesleyan 86, Dubuque 80, Springfield 60, Redlands 38, Luther 32, Gordon 28, Cortland State 18, Plattsburgh State 14, Oberlin 14, Lebanon Valley 12, Scranton 10, Connecticut College 10, Rutgers-Newark 10, Lycoming 8, Clark 8, Loras 6, Montclair State 6, North Park 2

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Mid-Atlantic Region: Breakdown by Ranking

Team Name                       D3 Poll         Massey         Hero       NSCAA       NSCAA RR
F&M                                         10                 24               27            12                  2
Fords                                       12                 23               36             5                   1
Messiah                                   13                 11               11            21                  3
Etown                                      22                 32               22            RV                 4
LVC                                       RV(12)           110              71                                  6
Scranton                               RV(10)            48               60                                  5
Lyco                                      RV(8)              44               40                                  8
Eastern                                    NR                81                91                                 NR
Hopkins                                   NR                77                80                                  7
Misericordia                             NR                84                106                                9
Gettysburg                              NR                65                81                                 10
Manhattanville                         NR                69                104                               NR
Arcadia                                    NR               112               148                               NR

[Shooter McGavin]

When it's all said and done I think you will see something close to this...and boy oh boy that's going to be exciting to see who gets slotted where!

Messiah------------13-1-1
Fords--------------12-2-3
F&M---------------11-2-4
Etown-------------12-2-2
Scranton----------12-3-1
Eastern------------13-3-2
LVC---------------11-4-1
Misericordia-------11-5-2
Hopkins-----------11-3-3
Lycoming---------11-4-4
Gettysburg--------9-4-3
Manhattanville----13-4-1

[Shooter McGavin]

A team to watch is up and coming Manhattanville...they could sneak into at-large bid conversation if they can keep their string of recent wins up. I am curious to what their SOS will be. They have played notables of NYU (W), Vassar (L), RPI (W), Oneonta (L), Drew (L), Eastern (W), Montclair (TBD), and Misericordia (TBD). I believe with other weaker opponents in the non-conference plus in conference their SOS will be hovering around the .505-.515 range, but they have some decent teams they have faced which will help balance that.

RvR somewhere around 1-2-0 w/2 remaining games...should be interesting to see how they develop through the rest of conference play. I would keep my eyes on them!

[rudy]

When it's all said and done I think you will see something close to this...and boy oh boy that's going to be exciting to see who gets slotted where!

Messiah------------13-1-1
Fords--------------12-2-3
F&M---------------11-2-4
Etown-------------12-2-2
Scranton----------12-3-1
Eastern------------13-3-2
LVC---------------11-4-1
Misericordia-------11-5-2
Hopkins-----------11-3-3
Lycoming---------11-4-4
Gettysburg--------9-4-3
Manhattanville----13-4-1

You must mean Messiah 13-1-3?  Washington &Lee Saturday away will be a hurdle. Could be a loss or tie. May be impacted by who is healthy to play but so far the depth of roster has proven to be very positive. Some players have played multiple positions depending on need game to game and have performed excellently. Will C comes to mind but others have also played different positions. A win will put them in good position for bid even if they fail to get the AQ.