Mid-Atlantic Region 2016

[paclassic89]

I hope the results are more like your predictions actually .  That would really shake things up! 

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

F&M vs Fords
WAC vs Getty
Dickinson vs Swat
Mules vs Hopkins
Messiah vs Widener
E-town vs Susquehanna
Lyco vs Hood
Eastern vs Kings
FDU-Florham vs    Misericordia
-------------------------------------------
F&M and Fords tie 1-1
Getty gets upended 2-1 by WAC
Swat draws Dickinson 1-1
Muhles draw JHU 2-2
Messiah coasts past Widener 3-0
Etown thumps Susquehanna 3-1
Lyco escapes Hood 1-0 OT
Kings gets a critical point and draws Eastern 1-1
FDU and Misericordia go goalless 0-0

[phillyfan12]

F&M vs Fords -- Think this will be a tight one with each team having their pockets of good play. F&M will definitely be motivated to avenge last year's loss. Think it will come right down to the wire. I'm going to go with a 1-1 tie but wouldn't be surprised 2-1 F&M or even 2-1 Fords

WAC vs Getty -- Think WAC has been overachieving thus far and Getty are dangerous with loads of attacking talent. I think Henry Smith and co. just get it done. 2-1 Getty

Dickinson vs Swat -- Dickinson are certainly down this year but think they'll show up for this one and win 1-0

Mules vs Hopkins -- Hopkins haven't had great results against anyone particularly good while Muhlenberg have been playing good teams tight (F&M and Haverford). I think this one will end in a 1-1 draw.

Messiah vs Widener -- 2-0 Messiah here but the scoreline is misleading as the game was never really in doubt.

E-town vs Susquehanna -- 2-1 E-town even though I'm not totally sold on them

Lyco vs Hood -- Lyco with their backs against the wall will live to see another day but only barely. 2-1 Lyco

Eastern vs Kings -- Eastern bounce back from their FDU loss with a big victory over Kings 2-0.

FDU-Florham vs  Misericordia -- Misericordia have been getting results all year and think that continues with a 2-1 victory ina  big conference tilt

[Flying Weasel]

I was going to question everyone's pick of Misericordia over FDU-Florham, knowing that FDU had just beaten Eastern 3-1 and Manhattanville 2-0 in their last two games as part of a 4-game win streak.  But Misericordia is at home and FDU is on the road, so Misericordia is probably the right pick even if they did lose their last home game 0-1 to Eastern who FDU beat at home 3-1 four days later.  Misericordia's home/away splits have evened some after being 5-0-1 / 1-3-0 after 10 games; the Eastern home loss combined with three straight road wins (Manhattanville, Wilkes, DeSales) makes it 5-1-1 / 4-4-0.  FDU's splits are 5-1-1 H / 1-3-1 A / 0-2-1 N with their only win away from home being DelVal.  Also not in FDU's favor, they went 2-1-1 playing on their home turf before switching to their home grass field in their last three home matches, winning all three over Wilkes, Eastern, and Manhattanville.  So FDU clearly struggles to win on the road and seems to be better on grass.  A long-winded way of saying that, even though I set out to prove otherwise, the predictions of a Misericordia win is probably the right call.

[Falconer]

Lycoming and Hood played to a scoreless tie this afternoon at Hood's homecoming game.  Not good for Lycoming: they needed a win to get into the top 5 in the MACC.  Hood sits in third with Arcadia, while Alvernia (who has a win over Lyco) is in fifth ahead of Lyco.  Alvernia should beat Albright, but their final game vs LVC looms large. Lyco has just one conference game left, at home with Stevenson--a game they should win, but the Warriors have already lost multiple games they should have won so nothing is safe to assume. Stevenson's other conference game is against LVC.  They could jump past Lyco if they beat them next week, but LVC will be involved in key games for other teams as they close their season.  Messiah has 3 games left, Widener tonight followed by Hood and Arcadia next week.  All of them still count, since LVC remains just one game back of the Falcons. 

[paclassic89]

That was a game that Lyco needed to win.  Mathematically they're still alive, but I think they'll end up missing out as crazy as that is.  LVC is playing to keep their Pool C hopes alive so they need to beat Stevenson and Alvernia to finish out the season.  My prediction for the playoff spots is 1.) Messiah 2) LVC 3,4,5 Arcadia, Alvernia, Hood all on 13 pts.  Really interesting end to the regular season in store

[Gunners95]

Did anyone else watch the F&M - Fords game? Looked like a tight matchup in the first half but F&M seemed to take control of the game going into the win in overtime. 6 straight wins for the diplomats heading into an always-tricky Gettysburg and an upward-trending Dickinson. Could F&M jump Messiah in Wednesday's regional rankings with that win over Fords??

[paclassic89]

I watched part of the second  half and OT.  It looked like F&M were the better team.  Messiah remains #1 regionally IMO

[rudy]

Did anyone else watch the F&M - Fords game? Looked like a tight matchup in the first half but F&M seemed to take control of the game going into the win in overtime. 6 straight wins for the diplomats heading into an always-tricky Gettysburg and an upward-trending Dickinson. Could F&M jump Messiah in Wednesday's regional rankings with that win over Fords??

Messiah had .584 SOS and f&m .548 .  I would think win over haverford would give RvR points to f&m but not sure if that is enough to move them ahead of Messiah. Haverford on the other hand may drop more spots. If they lose any more games then they could drop from the rankings thereby making the win for f&m less valuable. Find out tomorrow if any movement in rankings

[rudy]

Arcadia ties Widener 1-1.  That gives Arcadia 11 points.  If they lose final game to Messiah and Lyco wins..they both have 11 and head to head they tied.  Not sure what the next tie breaker is?  Alvernia now at 13 so they locked up their spot. 

[paclassic89]

The next tiebreaker is win/loss record vs. conference opponents starting with #1 and descending down the standings (from what I've been told).  So they both lost against Messiah and LVC.  The 3rd place team is Alvernia who Arcadia beat and Lyco lost to.  So Arcadia gets the 5 seed and Lyco is out.  I think that's correct.  1.) Messiah 2)LVC 3) Alvernia 4) Hood 5) Arcadia  most likely

[rudy]

The next tiebreaker is win/loss record vs. conference opponents starting with #1 and descending down the standings (from what I've been told).  So they both lost against Messiah and LVC.  The 3rd place team is Alvernia who Arcadia beat and Lyco lost to.  So Arcadia gets the 5 seed and Lyco is out.  I think that's correct.  1.) Messiah 2)LVC 3) Alvernia 4) Hood 5) Arcadia  most likely

That sounds reasonable.  Hood still needs to win or tie to get to 13 or 11 points.  Hood also tied Lyco head to head so if your tie breaker is correct..they lost to Messiah, Alvernia, and LVC.  Don't know who 4th place will be.   If Hood loses then Lyco can still get in outright if they manage to end with a win. Going to come down to the final game to work out the final 4 and 5 spots between 3 teams.  Sounds like Arcadia is in at either 4 or 5 based on your analysis.  The only question is will it be Hood or Lyco for the final spot.

[paclassic89]

Good point.  Lyco plays Stevenson so that should be a win.  Hood plays Widener.  Widener played LVC tight and just tied Arcadia so it's a possibility that they can play spoiler and beat Hood.  If they tie, I believe the tiebreaker is each team's result against Arcadia which would give Hood the 5th because they beat Arcadia and Lyco tied Arcadia.   

[rudy]

Good point.  Lyco plays Stevenson so that should be a win.  Hood plays Widener.  Widener played LVC tight and just tied Arcadia so it's a possibility that they can play spoiler and beat Hood.  If they tie, I believe the tiebreaker is each team's result against Arcadia which would give Hood the 5th because they beat Arcadia and Lyco tied Arcadia.

Sound right.  So Hood has their destiny in their own hands and Lyco needs help from Widener.  Either way I think Messiah is in good shape playing at home with a healthy team.  Anything can happen but they are in a good position to win the conference playoffs.   LVC is probably the most dangerous team for them this year..but can't count Lyco out if they manage to qualify.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Lycoming with an upset on the road at #21 SUNY Oneonta with a 3-2 2OT win. The Warriors never trailed and it looks like they were outplayed from the box score but nevertheless they prevailed. This is a big win for Lycoming heading into the weekend and should give them the confidence needed to win on Saturday. Even if they win they still need lots of help for them to clinch a playoff spot. It will be an interesting weekend, but regardless this is a nice win for them.