2018 Season - National Perspective

Started by Flying Weasel, March 26, 2018, 10:13:20 PM

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Mr.Right


Mr.Right

So much for the Travis family duo at Coe College. Sonny Travis left Emory to become the Coe AD and he brought his son Matt Travis in to be Head Coach of Men's Soccer. Now I am not familiar at all with what he was left with but they did have 3 Wins last season. Coe is 0-11-1 overall and 0-5-0 in their conference. First of all, Travis is extremely young to be a Head Coach and while he spent maybe 4 years as an assistant(2 at Amherst) he still has to be the youngest Head Coach in D3. Most schools do not even allow the AD or Head Coaches to hire immediate family because of obvious issues that can come up. Nescac fans will be interested to know that Travis convinced recently graduated Amherst GK Lee Owen to join him as an Assistant. They have scored a total of 4 Goals in 12 Games this season and while they were getting blown off the field to begin the year they do seem to be doing a bit better on the defensive end as they have a couple 1 Goal losses the past few games. Sonny Travis has given his son an opportunity that many assistants need 6-7-8 years to get. He will get important Head Coaching experience and because this program IS SO BAD he will be given credit if he can turn it around even a little. This could be a stepping stone for the kid to get a better job and on and on it goes. I never said life was fair but is it possible to turn this around at a 4 year LAC in Cedar Rapids?

lastguyoffthebench


St. Joseph's now unbeaten in 36 games with 2 games remaining, plus 3 conference playoff games... they should pass Amherst.   Depending on match-ups, they should survive the first weekend of the tournament...

66 Wheaton (IL) Sept. 1, 1996 Nov. 14, 1998
60 St. Lawrence Nov. 19, 1997 Nov. 12, 2000
46 Messiah Nov. 13, 2004 Oct. 28, 2006
43 Trinity (TX) Aug. 29, 2003 Nov. 19, 2004
42 Oberlin Oct. 28, 1950 Oct. 8, 1955
42 Messiah Sept. 4, 2010 Nov. 5, 2011
40 Amherst Sept. 8, 2012 Nov. 23, 2013
39 Wheaton (IL) 1984 1985
37 Rutgers-Camden Oct. 1, 2012 Dec. 6, 2013
34 Macalester Oct. 9, 1996 Sept. 27, 1998

Dubuquer

Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2018, 12:50:37 PM
So much for the Travis family duo at Coe College. Sonny Travis left Emory to become the Coe AD and he brought his son Matt Travis in to be Head Coach of Men's Soccer. Now I am not familiar at all with what he was left with but they did have 3 Wins last season. Coe is 0-11-1 overall and 0-5-0 in their conference. First of all, Travis is extremely young to be a Head Coach and while he spent maybe 4 years as an assistant(2 at Amherst) he still has to be the youngest Head Coach in D3. Most schools do not even allow the AD or Head Coaches to hire immediate family because of obvious issues that can come up. Nescac fans will be interested to know that Travis convinced recently graduated Amherst GK Lee Owen to join him as an Assistant. They have scored a total of 4 Goals in 12 Games this season and while they were getting blown off the field to begin the year they do seem to be doing a bit better on the defensive end as they have a couple 1 Goal losses the past few games. Sonny Travis has given his son an opportunity that many assistants need 6-7-8 years to get. He will get important Head Coaching experience and because this program IS SO BAD he will be given credit if he can turn it around even a little. This could be a stepping stone for the kid to get a better job and on and on it goes. I never said life was fair but is it possible to turn this around at a 4 year LAC in Cedar Rapids?

Looking at the Coe roster there are 3 seniors and a junior.  Everyone else is a first- or second-year.  I think it's fair to say he wasn't left with much.  I hope he is able to turn around the program and make it competitive.  It would be nice to have another competitive team in the IIAC.  Dang it. ARC, not IIAC...  That habit will be hard to break.  My guess is that in 2-3 years Coe is competing with the mid-tier ARC teams.  There are certainly enough good D3-caliber players in the local Iowa City/Cedar Rapids area that if the Travises can get a foothold in recruiting there they could see some quick improvement. 

PaulNewman

The rankings are always so strange.  Emory 0-4-1 in last 5 and comes in at #4 or #5 in South Atlantic and undefeated Lynchburg UNRANKED (unless there is an error).

lastguyoffthebench

http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/pdf/staticpdfrank

SOS   

Lynchburg SOS .522
Lycoming also similar boat with a .516 SOS ranked 9th
St. Joseph's ME .513 SOS  ranked 11th

PaulNewman

Just can't completely plan for this....if you just look at Lynchburg's schedule it looks good-----Oberlin, Dickinson, Mary Wash, Christopher Newport, Roanoke, W&L....can't account for Oberlin having a horrendous season with only 1 win and CNU also having an extremely off year for them....

Mr.Right

Pretty sure Brockport St got the shaft in the East but maybe they enter the picture next week. How far can that Cortland St Win carry New Paltz? After that I am not seeing much....

Christan Shirk

NEW ENGLAND REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Connecticut College
10-0-2
0.623
--
10-0-2
--
2.
Tufts
11-0-2
0.602
--
11-0-2
--
3.
Roger Williams
13-2-0
0.576
--
13-2-0
--
4.
Amherst
8-3-1
0.623
--
8-3-1
--
5.
Endicott
8-4-2
0.620
--
8-4-2
--
6.
Springfield
10-3-0
0.550
--
10-3-0
--
7.
Middlebury
7-2-3
0.565
--
7-2-3
--
8.
Babson
7-2-4
0.568
--
7-2-4
--
9.
Brandeis
7-5-1
0.650
--
7-5-1
--
10.
Williams
7-3-2
0.549
--
7-3-2
--
11.
St. Joseph's (Maine)
14-0-0
0.513
--
14-0-0
--
12.
Hamilton
7-5-1
0.586
--
7-5-1
--

EAST REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Rochester
10-1-1
0.570
--
10-1-1
--
2.
Cortland State
12-1-2
0.570
--
12-1-2
--
3.
New York University
10-3-0
0.565
--
10-3-0
--
4.
St. Lawrence
9-2-2
0.560
--
9-2-2
--
5.
Oneonta State
8-3-4
0.598
--
8-3-4
--
6.
Vassar
8-4-0
0.608
--
8-4-0
--
7.
New Paltz State
10-4-1
0.561
--
10-4-1
--
8.
Ithaca
10-1-3
0.529
--
10-1-3
--

MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Messiah
12-0-2
0.591
--
12-0-2
--
2.
Johns Hopkins
10-3-1
0.629
--
10-3-1
--
3.
Eastern
10-2-1
0.587
--
10-2-1
--
4.
Franklin and Marshall
10-2-2
0.618
--
10-2-2
--
5.
Dickinson
9-3-2
0.579
--
9-3-2
--
6.
Haverford
7-4-0
0.626
--
7-4-0
--
7.
Gettysburg
7-4-1
0.579
--
7-4-1
--
8.
Lebanon Valley
7-4-1
0.570
--
7-4-1
--
9.
Lycoming
12-1-1
0.516
--
12-1-1
--
10.
Swarthmore
8-5-1
0.600
--
8-5-1
--

SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Montclair State
13-1-2
0.560
--
13-1-2
--
2.
Mary Washington
9-1-3
0.578
--
9-1-3
--
3.
Rutgers-Camden
11-3-2
0.584
--
11-3-2
--
4.
Rowan
10-4-0
0.606
--
10-4-0
--
5.
Emory
8-4-1
0.619
--
8-4-1
--
6.
Salisbury
9-2-2
0.558
--
9-2-2
--
7.
York (Pa.)
9-3-2
0.567
--
9-3-2
--
8.
Washington and Lee
7-3-1
0.577
--
7-3-1
--
Christan Shirk
Special Consultant and Advisor
D3soccer.com

NEsoccerfan

TOP 5 SOS thus far:
#1 - Chicago - 0.662
#2 - Brandeis - 0.65
#3 - CMU - 0.647
#4 - JHU - 0.629
#5 - Haverford/JCU - 0.626

Unsurprising that the top 3 most difficult schedules come from the UAA.

Chicago's SOS + current record shows how truly special their season has been.

Christan Shirk

GREAT LAKES REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Case Western Reserve
11-2-1
0.607
--
11-2-1
--
2.
Kenyon
11-1-1
0.572
--
11-1-1
--
3.
Capital
10-3-0
0.595
--
10-3-0
--
4.
Ohio Wesleyan
10-2-1
0.563
--
10-2-1
--
5.
Carnegie Mellon
8-3-2
0.647
--
8-3-2
--
6.
John Carroll
8-4-1
0.626
--
8-4-1
--
7.
Mount Union
10-2-0
0.525
--
10-2-0
--
8.
Ohio Northern
9-4-1
0.540
--
9-4-1
--

CENTRAL REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Chicago
12-1-1
0.662
--
12-1-1
--
2.
Calvin
11-1-0
0.618
--
12-1-0
--
3.
Hope
9-1-1
0.569
--
11-1-1
--
4.
Millikin
8-4-0
0.557
--
8-4-0
--
5.
North Central (Ill.)
8-4-0
0.556
--
8-4-0
--
6.
North Park
11-2-0
0.524
--
11-2-0
--
7.
Benedictine
9-6-0
0.550
--
9-6-0
--

NORTH REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Gustavus Adolphus
9-1-1
0.574
--
10-1-1
--
2.
Luther
10-3-1
0.578
--
10-3-1
--
3.
UW-Platteville
8-1-2
0.561
--
8-1-2
--
4.
St. Thomas
11-3-1
0.606
--
11-3-1
--
5.
Carleton
9-1-2
0.540
--
9-1-2
--
6.
Augsburg
8-2-2
0.554
--
8-2-2
--
7.
Macalester
8-3-2
0.570
--
8-3-2
--

WEST REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Redlands
10-2-0
0.550
--
10-3-0
--
2.
Mary Hardin-Baylor
10-3-0
0.549
--
10-3-0
--
3.
Trinity (Texas)
11-1-1
0.523
--
12-1-1
--
4.
Southwestern
9-3-0
0.546
--
9-4-1
--
5.
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
10-2-0
0.516
--
11-2-0
--
6.
Texas-Dallas
9-1-2
0.523
--
9-1-2
--
Christan Shirk
Special Consultant and Advisor
D3soccer.com

Flying Weasel

Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2018, 03:54:31 PM
Pretty sure Brockport St got the shaft in the East but maybe they enter the picture next week. How far can that Cortland St Win carry New Paltz? After that I am not seeing much....

Their SOS is .527, lower than anyone else ranked in the region. Ithaca almost missed out due to their similarly low .529 SOS.

It will be interesting to see how RvR will effect things next week.

Mr.Right

Did not look at the SOS but I guessed it would be higher

Flying Weasel

Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 02:55:45 PM
The rankings are always so strange.  Emory 0-4-1 in last 5 and comes in at #4 or #5 in South Atlantic and undefeated Lynchburg UNRANKED (unless there is an error).

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 17, 2018, 02:58:17 PM
http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/pdf/staticpdfrank

SOS   

Lynchburg SOS .522
Lycoming also similar boat with a .516 SOS ranked 9th
St. Joseph's ME .513 SOS  ranked 11th

Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 03:05:59 PM
Just can't completely plan for this....if you just look at Lynchburg's schedule it looks good-----Oberlin, Dickinson, Mary Wash, Christopher Newport, Roanoke, W&L....can't account for Oberlin having a horrendous season with only 1 win and CNU also having an extremely off year for them....

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 17, 2018, 03:10:35 PM
With RvR factored next, Lynchburg will jump...

Lynchburg may have gotten ranked if they had beaten rather than tied Washington & Lee as the head-to-head advantage might have been enough to compensate for the poorer SOS.  Thinking about results versus common opponents, Lynchburg like York tied Mary Washington which doesn't help Lynchburg in the comparison with York, and Salisbury defeated Mary Washington, so even worse in that comparison. Given that this is an extremely quantitative process, you can see how they could get left out even if it doesn't feel right subjectively.  Their RvR next week will be 1-0-2 which might not help them too much.  Depends how it compares to that of W&L, York, Salisbury, etc. to see if it's a criterion can help them move up the pecking order.

Mr.Right

Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2018, 04:05:32 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2018, 03:54:31 PM
Pretty sure Brockport St got the shaft in the East but maybe they enter the picture next week. How far can that Cortland St Win carry New Paltz? After that I am not seeing much....

Their SOS is .527, lower than anyone else ranked in the region. Ithaca almost missed out due to their similarly low .529 SOS.

It will be interesting to see how RvR will effect things next week.


Well after looking at the data sheet it is strange Ithaca gets in with a .529 and Hobart at 6-5-2 but a .585 does not get in over them and Hobart beat them 3-0. Maybe 5 losses is to many when your SOS is under .600.