2018 Season - National Perspective

[Gotberg]

Pool C forecast....

Tufts
CWRU
Cortland St
Rochester
Conn College
Franklin & Marshall
Carnegie Mellon
Johns Hopkins
Ramapo
NYU
Amherst

Lycoming
Midd/Williams
C-M-S
Ithaca
Hope/GAC

That's 16

Bubble -- Hope/GAC, Midd/Williams, North Park, OWU, Oglethorpe, St Thomas, Capital, Mt. Union, William Paterson, Rowan, New Paltz, RUC, Oneonta, Babson, St Norbert, Dickinson

So apparently only east coast schools get pool c bids.

[PaulNewman]

Pool C forecast....

Tufts
CWRU
Cortland St
Rochester
Conn College
Franklin & Marshall
Carnegie Mellon
Johns Hopkins
Ramapo
NYU
Amherst

Lycoming
Midd/Williams
C-M-S
Ithaca
Hope/GAC

That's 16

Bubble -- Hope/GAC, Midd/Williams, North Park, OWU, Oglethorpe, St Thomas, Capital, Mt. Union, William Paterson, Rowan, New Paltz, RUC, Oneonta, Babson, St Norbert, Dickinson

So apparently only east coast schools get pool c bids.

The East Coast teams like C-M-S,  Hope, GAC???  Just one person's crack at it.....Please give us your thoughts and predictions.

[TyWebb]

Working on my Pool Cs....
-- Babson in trouble with no ranked wins and only 1-3-2 IF Springfield ends up ranked, and therefore I am predicting Midd and Williams get in...

Anticipate Springfield to take WPI place in rankings so Babson gets a victory there. Elizabethtown has a good chance to move into the rankings replacing
Catholic. That would give the Beavers another tie. R-v-R could be 1-3-3 with SOS maybe taking a little dip from last weeks .581 due to playing Wheaton Thursday but
playing Springfield in the championship game should balance that out.

And while their R-v-R isn't the greatest, Babson's SOS is higher than these teams from your pool C 16: Cortland St.,Ramapo, NYU, Lycoming, Midd, CMS, Ithaca,
Hope, GAC. So it just depends what metric you choose to use as to who gets in.

On top of that, they were a regular season winner of their conference (Cortland,CMS & GAC can claim that too), lost in the championship game of their conference final with less than 3 minutes to go 1-0. Both Hope and Ramapo end the season with 5-0 drubbings. Probably not the last thing you want the committee seeing on your resume.

I'm hoping they get in. I certainly think they deserve it.

[Shooter McGavin]

Shooter's Pool C Predictions

1. Tufts
2. Case
3. F&M
4. UR
5. Cortland
6. Conn
7. CMU
8. Amherst
9. Hopkins
10. NYU
11. Ramapo
12. Hope
13. Williams
14. Lycoming
15. Claremont
16. Adolphus
17. Ithaca
18. Middlebury
19. Camden/North Park
-----------------------------
20. North Park/Camden
21. St. Thomas
22. Capital
23. Babson
24. Oneonta
25. St. Norbert

Others:
Oglethorpe
Endicott
Dickinson
OWU

[PaulNewman]

Nice job, Shooter.

TyWebb, if you go back a page or two you'll see that I had Babson easily in and among the top 11-12 picks.  Then I saw the RvR issue.  The SoS is fine.  1 ranked win out of 7 ranked games may be a problem, especially compared to teams with 3+ wins.  And let's not confuse Springfield with Calvin, although I did note teams benefiting from teams they lost to simply because of the boost to SoS.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Pool C Analysis

Locks
1. Tufts
2. Case
3. Cortland
4. F&M
5. Rochester
6. Conn College
7. CMU
8. Hopkins
9. Amherst
10. NYU

Right Side of Bubble
11. Williams
12. Hope
13. Gustavus
14. Ramapo
15. Lycoming

Nervous
16. Claremont
17. Ithaca
18. St. Thomas
19. Camden

Wrong Side of Bubble
20. Middlebury
21. North Park
22. Capital
23. Babson
24. Oneonta
25. Ogelthorpe/St. Norbert

[D3bandwagon]

Some say the ACAA is the poor man's UAA. Can't wait for an electric 5-3-2 team in Thomas More making the tournament again.

[mondomike]

Can some explain when the actual schedule will be posted, and how the first  round locations are chosen for this relative newbie?

Thanks!

[bestfancle]

Can some explain when the actual schedule will be posted, and how the first  round locations are chosen for this relative newbie?

Thanks!

Yes, the tournament will be drawn tomorrow during a live show at 1 PM ET. Locations are chosen typically based off of regional rankings. They do a great projection on d3soccer.com, it will probably be updated soon with part 2.

https://www.ncaa.com/news/soccer-men/article/2018-11-03/college-soccer-diii-mens-tournament-selections-be-revealed

[mondomike]

Fantastic- thank you!!

[PaulNewman]

I am feeling better and better about St. Norbert....D3soccer projects SoS up to .543 and 2-0 with RvR and one of the top handful of winning percentages in the country.

[TyWebb]

Can some explain when the actual schedule will be posted, and how the first  round locations are chosen for this relative newbie?

Thanks!

Yes, the tournament will be drawn tomorrow during a live show at 1 PM ET. Locations are chosen typically based off of regional rankings. They do a great projection on d3soccer.com, it will probably be updated soon with part 2.

https://www.ncaa.com/news/soccer-men/article/2018-11-03/college-soccer-diii-mens-tournament-selections-be-revealed

Here is the D3soccer.com link for the projections. Scroll to the bottom for analysis and predictions.

http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2018/mens-at-large-analysis-and-predictions

[4samuy]

IMO, Chicago will be the top seed in the tournament.  That's probably a controversial selection in some people's mind.  Their head to head with Calvin has given them the top spot in the Central Region.  9-2-1 RvR.  It looks to me that the committee is seperating the top teams by head to head and RVR. 

If that is the case, will/can the committee put Calvin and Chicago in separate brackets?

[TheGreenKnight920]

I am feeling better and better about St. Norbert....D3soccer projects SoS up to .543 and 2-0 with RvR and one of the top handful of winning percentages in the country.

As a Wisconsin sports fan, optimism isn't in our blood. Can't wait for them to get bumped for a .500 NESCAC/UAA/CC/etc... team!

[TheGreenKnight920]

Pool C forecast....

Tufts
CWRU
Cortland St
Rochester
Conn College
Franklin & Marshall
Carnegie Mellon
Johns Hopkins
Ramapo
NYU
Amherst

Lycoming
Midd/Williams
C-M-S
Ithaca
Hope/GAC

That's 16

Bubble -- Hope/GAC, Midd/Williams, North Park, OWU, Oglethorpe, St Thomas, Capital, Mt. Union, William Paterson, Rowan, New Paltz, RUC, Oneonta, Babson, St Norbert, Dickinson

So apparently only east coast schools get pool c bids.

You're not wrong...