UAA 2019

[jaybird44]

Two fun games from WashU's point of view.  Along with the men's victory, the WashU women came from behind early in the 2nd half to score 3 unanswered goals for a 3-1 win.

This WashU men's team works very hard.  Sean Connors was out of breath during the post-game interview segment.  He was great on both ends of the field.  Isaac Plutzer is a rock on the back line, along with Alistair Shaw.  Connor Mathes made a great save on UR's Aidan Martin, diving to the far post and putting a paw on the ball to freeze it on the post before it could trickle across the line.  Julian Gancman and Alex Smith are troublesome figures on the flanks to corral.

Lots to like about these Bears!

 

[Falconer]

Thanks for that update on the Chicago-Emory game and the heads-up on that Kyle Ruark assist.

Thankfully the Chicago SID posted it on Twitter. Definitely something to see: https://twitter.com/i/status/1180574542613360640

Also, checking in on the Case Western Reserve-NYU game and the Spartans trail 2-0.

Beautiful piece of work--thank you for sharing.

[WUPHF]

Along with the men's victory, the WashU women came from behind early in the 2nd half to score 3 unanswered goals for a 3-1 win.

I often feel guilty for not acknowledging the Women but they are so good, I expect them to win every game.  Congratulations to Coach Conlon for win No. 200.  Building a dynasty.

As for the Men, it is hard to add more to your list without adding everyone, but obviously Wolf and Lamba and, well, everybody.

Thanks for the call today.

[blooter442]

Thanks for that update on the Chicago-Emory game and the heads-up on that Kyle Ruark assist.

Thankfully the Chicago SID posted it on Twitter. Definitely something to see: https://twitter.com/i/status/1180574542613360640

Also, checking in on the Case Western Reserve-NYU game and the Spartans trail 2-0.

Beautiful piece of work--thank you for sharing.

You can tell that Ruark enjoyed that as much as if it was his goal...and given the setup, as he should!

[MaturinNYC]

I was at the Rochester v. Wash U game yesterday and true to form, it was a classic UAA battle that could've gone either way. From my blue & yellow eyes Rochester was very unlucky not to have scored in the first half, generating a lot of opportunity but just not getting enough to really test the keeper other than one SOG that almost spun over the line. Defensively both sides were strong, but Rochester seemed to be solving some possession issues and were causing Wash U problems just when an ill-timed challenge gave the home side a free kick 25 yards out that they converted. After that, Wash U played with much more confidence and ease and Rochester couldn't get the ball to their dangerous midfield. It'll be interesting to see how both teams progress from here, as both have some positives to build on and issues to correct. 

[Buck O.]

I was at the Rochester v. Wash U game yesterday and true to form, it was a classic UAA battle that could've gone either way. From my blue & yellow eyes Rochester was very unlucky not to have scored in the first half, generating a lot of opportunity but just not getting enough to really test the keeper other than one SOG that almost spun over the line. Defensively both sides were strong, but Rochester seemed to be solving some possession issues and were causing Wash U problems just when an ill-timed challenge gave the home side a free kick 25 yards out that they converted. After that, Wash U played with much more confidence and ease and Rochester couldn't get the ball to their dangerous midfield. It'll be interesting to see how both teams progress from here, as both have some positives to build on and issues to correct.

I can't comment on the first 50 minutes or so, since I didn't see it, but I saw the remainder of the second half rather differently.  Rochester had the better of the play by a slight margin for the first portion of the second half, but I don't recall them generating much in the way of chances as a result--which is why with about 20 minutes left in the game, each team had just one SOG.  But then WashU asserted itself and was able to generate a number of opportunities.  First, Wolf fed Yamamoto with shot from about 12 yards that went just wide in the 72nd minute.  Then Aidan Ryan played Wolf through in the 74th minute, but Rochester's keeper, Curran, was able to get to the ball just in time.  Finally, Connors scored on the free kick in the 78th minute, but I thought that was consistent with the run of play over the preceding several minutes.

[MaturinNYC]

I can't comment on the first 50 minutes or so, since I didn't see it, but I saw the remainder of the second half rather differently.  Rochester had the better of the play by a slight margin for the first portion of the second half, but I don't recall them generating much in the way of chances as a result--which is why with about 20 minutes left in the game, each team had just one SOG.  But then WashU asserted itself and was able to generate a number of opportunities.

Yes sorry - that's what i saw as well in that time frame, my post probably had hangover from the first half. I thought Wash U especially dominated the final 15 min or so and played with a confidence they didn't have at the start, especially after the goal. I did think Rochester had tried to find their midfield after the break, but in the end that didn't help them get any opportunity on net.

[SideNetting]

Hello Internet Friends.
Been reading your insights for a while and enjoying them. Thank you for taking the time to put your thoughts up for discussion. One of my favorite parts of the banter has been the prognostications.
Good games this weekend for predicting. While I don't think my insights are as clear as many of you, it's not really fair to ask and not volunteer my guesses. So here goes:

Saturday games:
Brandeis at CW--Case seems short in some key talent positions. Brandeis has tightened their D. Brandeis 2:0 Case
NYU at CMU--Two teams headed in different directions. CMU not in good form currently, NYU seems to have found their groove a bit. NYU 2:0 CMU
Wash at Emory--Emory has had problems with quality sides. Wash U seems a quality side. Emory at home, but still falls. WU 3:1 Emory.

Sunday
Chicago at Rochester--You have to consider Chicago the class of the league with 5:0 performance. But I don't think Rochester goes so easily. Chicago 3:1 Rochester. A late Chicago goal will give them breathing room from what should be a physical match.

[rolldeisroll]

I'll hop on the prediction bandwagon too... Big win for Deis, they're not 5-0-1 against Carnegie in their last 6 games, and the one tie was when Ocel got a red card and they played a man down for the last 85 minutes.

Brandeis at Case: Funnily enough, this is Case's "homecoming" game, and it's being played at Oberlin. This is a team that now has a must win game in front of them, so I think they'll put up a fight, but if Walter starts at CB for Deis I think they can negate lots of the attack.
------ Deis 1 - 0 Case

NYU at Carnegie: I never really rated Carnegie, probably because of the success we had during my time playing, but this seemed like the worst version of themselves in the last 5 years. Still not fully bought in on NYU though. They need a big win to prove to me they're back to the steps they made last year. I'm thinking draw on this one, score will be whatever, but I'll say...
------ NYU 1 - 1 Carnegie

Wash U at Emory: Don't trust Wash U just yet, but they put in a heck of a performance last weekend, and Emory I think is still reeling. Even at home I think they drop another one.
------ Wash U 2 - 0 Emory

Chicago at Rochester: Both these teams I think are at a point where their season kind of hangs in the balance. Rochester has played I would say 4 "good" teams, in Cortland, John Carrol, Wash U, and Hobart, and they are 1-3 in those games. I thought they'd have a great run of form in the league, but I don't think they've fully proven to be a 7-3 team. Chicago has proven they can go on the road and grind out tough results, but I think at some point some of those ties will turn into losses. I think they pull this one out, but it could easily fall to a draw as well.
Chicago 3 - 2 Rochester

[PaulNewman]

I don't like picking against my Brandeis friends, but CWRU is in dire need of a positive result and I think they get it.  There is a lot of talent left from last year's Case squad, and they are due for a good win as well.  They also have the time (and needed type of opponents) to turn their season around and make a run in the tourney.  Their SoS will be there and they can still rack up 2-3 ranked wins.

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Haven't followed the UAA as closely as past years but love reading the thread to stay in touch with this juggernaut of a conference. Jumping in for these picks so here we go!

Brandies 2
CWRU 1

CMU 3
NYU 1

Wash U 1
Emory 0
OT

Chicago 2
UR 2
2OT

[WUPHF]

Brandeis draws with Case Western, 0-0
Carnegie Mellon over NYU, 1-0
Washington University draws with Emory, 1-1
Chicago over Rochester, 1-0
_____________________________
ʎǝssɐɯ uǝʞ ʎq suoᴉʇɔᴉpǝɹd

[MaturinNYC]

The weather looks great for this weekend's games - not sure my predictions will look as good afterwards, but here goes:

Brandies 2
CWRU 2     2OT

CMU 1
NYU 2

Wash U 1
Emory 0

Chicago 1
UR 3

[Mr.Right]

UR v Chicago--0-0
NYU v CMU---0-2
Emory v Wash U---0-3
CWRU v Deis----1-1

[Buck O.]

My picks (as usual, all ratings per Massey):

#11 Chicago at #45 Rochester:  The game of the week.  Despite last week's blowout of Emory, Chicago doesn't have the firepower that it's had in the recent past, and they only have one win over a top-50 team (#32 North Park).  But they still seem to be the best team in the conference.  Rochester's recent winning streak, which included six straight clean sheets, was compiled against subpar competition for the most part (with #46 Hobart being the only top-150 opponent in that stretch), so I think they can be scored upon, although defense does seem to be their strength.  I'll go with a 1-1 tie, although a Chicago win in OT wouldn't surprise me.

#21 WashU @ #54 Emory: I don't see why Massey's formulas rank Emory this highly.  They've conceded five goals twice and four goals a third time, and while those were all in games against top-20 teams, the #54 team should be able to do better than that.  Their sole top-100 win is against #47 Covenant, and I'm not sure that I'm buying that ranking either, as Covenant's record is built on a bunch of wins over weak teams and one win against #29 NC Wesleyan, which in turn has beaten no one in the top 125.  OTOH, WashU is unlikely to score a lot of goals, as their strength this year is defense, not offense, although Nolan "Microwave" Wolf has helped the latter significantly.  I'll take WashU in a 2-0 win.

#39 Brandeis vs #114 Case, @ Oberlin:  Brandeis's only losses are to top-10 opponents.  The Tufts loss occurred in the middle of an unimpressive 0-1-3 stretch in which they tied #65 WPI, #123 WNEC and #122 Wheaton (MA), but those were all games that leading scorer Will DeNight missed.  Case simply has not impressed.  In addition to their loss to #211 Marietta, they have two other losses to teams in the 140s; their best win is against #81 Otterbein.  All in all, their #114 ranking seems deserved.  I'll take Deis, 2-0.

#147 NYU @ #142 CMU:  NYU has turned its season around with four straight wins, albeit probably too late for a repeat NCAA bid unless they win the AQ (unlikely).  They're 0-2 aginst top-50 teams, and 2-2 against teams in the 100s.  CMU has played a bimodal schedule, with no opponents ranked between #93 and #267.  Their best result is a tie against #33 JCU, although JCU had a significant statistical edge in that game (19-7 in shots, 9-2 in SOG).  And then there's the Allegheny loss.  All in all, NYU looks a little better and certainly is coming off a better result from last week, but CMU's at home, so I'll go with a 1-1 tie.