2019 South Atlantic Region

Started by lastguyoffthebench, October 18, 2019, 10:57:17 AM

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lastguyoffthebench


The South Atlantic region appears to be deeper than previous seasons.   Several teams are going to be left-out on selection day:


ODAC:  W&L, Noke (Lynchburg).   Three bid league if Lynchburg steals the AQ

Capital:  CNU, UMW, (St. Mary's).  Two bid league.  Can't see St. Mary's earning the AQ

SAA:  Ogelthorpe (Centre).  Possibility of two bid league. 

NJAC:  good luck.   History says two bids, but tough to read.  League is wide open...

UAA:  Emory.  With losses to Ogelthorpe/W&L, along with the UAA grind... highly unlikely they are tourney bound.

USAS:  NCWU / Covenant / Maryville    One bid league.

jknezek

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2019, 10:57:17 AM

The South Atlantic region appears to be deeper than previous seasons.   Several teams are going to be left-out on selection day:


ODAC:  W&L, Noke (Lynchburg).   Three bid league if Lynchburg steals the AQ

Capital:  CNU, UMW, (St. Mary's).  Two bid league.  Can't see St. Mary's earning the AQ

SAA:  Ogelthorpe (Centre).  Possibility of two bid league. 

NJAC:  good luck.   History says two bids, but tough to read.  League is wide open...

UAA:  Emory.  With losses to Ogelthorpe/W&L, along with the UAA grind... highly unlikely they are tourney bound.

USAS:  NCWU / Covenant / Maryville    One bid league.

I doubt Lynchburg can win the ODAC AQ. They are off their game from years past a bit. Bunch of tough losses/ties, but the 4-0 W&L laid on them was a very fair result. The earlier 0-0 tie at Lynchburg was the Hornets holding on for dear life, outshot 22-11 and 10-3 on corners. W&L just couldn't put one away and the Lynchburg goalie came up with 11 saves.

W&L hosting Roanoke Wednesday should decide who hosts the ODAC tournament, though the ridiculous unbalanced schedule leaves H-SC in the running as well since they have nothing but middle to bottom of the league left on their conference run.


Ejay

#13 and undefeated Roanoke gets hammered 4-1 by a 3-win Bridgewater team :o :o :o
#17 CNU loses 1-0 to Mary Washington
#4 W&L loses 1-0 to a 5-win VA Wesleyan team :o :o

jknezek

Quote from: EB2319 on October 20, 2019, 07:58:10 AM
#13 and undefeated Roanoke gets hammered 4-1 by a 3-win Bridgewater team :o :o :o
#17 CNU loses 1-0 to Mary Washington
#4 W&L loses 1-0 to a 5-win VA Wesleyan team :o :o

Va Wes had 1 shot on goal. It might have been the only shot they had all game. W&L just couldn't find the net. One of those games. I think the Marlins had all 11 guys in their third of the field for 89 minutes...

Christan Shirk

SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 23, 2019

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Christopher Newport
9-2-3
0.636
--
9-2-3
--
2.
Mary Washington
10-3-2
0.637
--
10-3-2
--
3.
Washington and Lee
10-2-2
0.603
--
10-2-2
--
4.
Roanoke
11-1-2
0.550
--
12-1-2
--
5.
Oglethorpe
11-3-0
0.558
--
11-3-0
--
6.
Centre
12-3-1
0.572
--
12-3-1
--
7.
Rowan
8-3-3
0.605
--
8-3-3
--
8.
TCNJ
10-2-3
0.568
--
10-2-3
--
Christan Shirk
Special Consultant and Advisor
D3soccer.com

jknezek

W&L picked a bad time to hit a scoring slump. They outshot Roanoke last night 24(7) to 11 (3) and tied 1-1. The previous game against Va Wes they lost 1-0 on 12(6) vs 2(1). Going to need to find that touch again soon. Might have already lost the ability to host the ODAC tournament with these 2 games.

Christan Shirk

SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 30, 2019

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Washington and Lee
11-2-3
0.605
3-1-2
11-2-3
3
2.
Christopher Newport
11-2-3
0.606
3-2-2
11-2-3
1
3.
Mary Washington
11-3-3
0.633
2-2-2
11-3-3
2
4.
Roanoke
11-1-3
0.558
1-0-2
12-1-3
4
5.
Oglethorpe
12-3-0
0.559
2-2-0
12-3-0
5
6.
Centre
13-3-1
0.569
3-3-0
13-3-1
6
7.
Ramapo
10-1-5
0.584
1-0-2
10-1-5
--
8.
Rowan
8-4-3
0.611
2-0-2
8-4-3
7
Christan Shirk
Special Consultant and Advisor
D3soccer.com

lastguyoffthebench

ODAC Men
#8-#9 Game - Fri., Nov. 1 (at higher seed)
#9 Bridgewater (Va.) at #8 Randolph, 7:00 pm ET
Quarterfinals - Sun., Nov. 3 (at higher seeds)
#8/#9 winner at #1 Hampden-Sydney, 2:00 pm ET
#7 Virginia Wesleyan at #2 Washington and Lee, TBA
#6 Guilford at #3 Roanoke, 5:30 pm ET
#5 Randolph-Macon at #4 Lynchburg, 5:30 pm ET
Semifinals - Sat., Nov. 9 (at highest remaining seed)
#4/#5 winner vs. #1/#8 winner, TBA
#3/#6 winner vs. #2/#7 winner, TBA
Final - Sun., Nov. 10 (at semifinal site)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
---------------------------------------------------------------
NJAC Men
First Round - Sat., Nov. 2 (at higher seeds)
#6 Stockton at #3 Rutgers-Camden, 1:00 pm ET
#5 Kean at #4 Rowan, 7:30 pm ET
Semifinals - Wed., Nov. 6 (at higher seeds)
#4/#5 winner at #1 Ramapo, 1:00 pm ET
#3/#6 winner at #2 Montclair State, 7:00 pm ET
Final - Fri., Nov. 8 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners
Champion / AQ:
-------------------------------------------------------------
CAC Men
First Round - Sat., Nov. 2 (at higher seeds)
#6 Southern Virginia at #3 St. Mary's (Md.), 4:30 pm ET
#5 Salisbury at #4 York (Pa.), 7:00 pm ET
Semifinals - Wed., Nov. 6 (at higher seeds)
#4/#5 winner at #1 Christopher Newport, 7:00 pm ET
#3/#6 winner at #2 Mary Washington, 2:30 pm ET
Final - Sat., Nov. 9 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners, TBA
AQ:
-----------------------------------------------------------

SAA Men
Quarterfinals - Sat., Nov. 2 (at higher seeds)
#8 Hendrix at #1 Oglethorpe, 12:00 pm CT
#7 Rhodes at #2 Centre, 3:30 pm ET
#6 Millsaps at #3 Sewanee, 4:30 pm CT
#5 Rhodes at #4 Berry, 12:00 pm ET
Semifinals - Fri., Nov. 8 (at highest remaining seed)
#4/#5 winner vs. #1/#8 winner, TBA
#3/#6 winner vs. #2/#7 winner, TBA
Final - Sun., Nov. 10 (at semifinal site)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
--------------------------------------------------------

USA SOUTH Men
► Seeding is by division: "E" for East Division; "W" for West Division.
Quarterfinals - Sat., Nov. 2 (at higher seeds)
E#4 Mary Baldwin at E#1 N.C. Wesleyan, 2:00 pm ET
E#3 William Peace at E#2 Greensboro, TBA
W#4 LaGrange at W#1 Covenant, TBA
W#3 Piedmont at W#2 Maryville (Tenn.), 5:30 pm ET
Semifinals - Fri., Nov. 8 (at highest remaining seed; East Division has preference)
W#2/#3 winner vs. E#1/#4 winner, TBA
E#2/#3 winner vs. W#1/#4 winner, TBA
Final - Sat., Nov. 9 (at semifinal site)
Semifinal winners , TBA
Champion / AQ:


jknezek

Very irritating W&L and Roanoke will meet, should both progress, before the finals, but both dropped points in conference they shouldn't have. The unbalanced schedule means that H-SC had an easier path to hosting and the 1 seed, and since they have played neither W&L nor Roanoke, they could win the conference regular season and tournament without facing one or both this season. It's... not a good system.

Domino1195

Quote from: jknezek on November 01, 2019, 11:10:41 AM
Very irritating W&L and Roanoke will meet, should both progress, before the finals, but both dropped points in conference they shouldn't have. The unbalanced schedule means that H-SC had an easier path to hosting and the 1 seed, and since they have played neither W&L nor Roanoke, they could win the conference regular season and tournament without facing one or both this season. It's... not a good system.

Ok - that's just nuts.  And Hampden-Sydney hasn't beaten Roanoke since 2013, W&L not since 2010.

jknezek

Quote from: Domino1195 on November 01, 2019, 03:39:39 PM
Quote from: jknezek on November 01, 2019, 11:10:41 AM
Very irritating W&L and Roanoke will meet, should both progress, before the finals, but both dropped points in conference they shouldn't have. The unbalanced schedule means that H-SC had an easier path to hosting and the 1 seed, and since they have played neither W&L nor Roanoke, they could win the conference regular season and tournament without facing one or both this season. It's... not a good system.

Ok - that's just nuts.  And Hampden-Sydney hasn't beaten Roanoke since 2013, W&L not since 2010.

It's what happens when conferences get too big in certain sports and they try and get cute and predict who will be good and need quality wins and who won't. H-SC is a solid team. They didn't do great in their non-conf schedule, but they weren't blown out by good teams either. They ran through the bottom of the ODAC. To be fair, W&L lost to Va Wes and Roanoke lost to Bridgewater. H-SC did beat both teams. Though it is interesting that both W&L and Roanoke lost those games as the precursor to their own conference match up in Lexington. In other words, both teams fell in trap games.

Ejay

I forgot what a great job Lynchburg does with their game coverage!  Such a pleasure to watch the Hornets defeat Randolph-Macon 2-0 in the ODAC QF this evening.  They're now "lucky" to get #1 seed HMC rather than either W&L and Roanoke who play in the other semi-final. 

jknezek

Quote from: EB2319 on November 03, 2019, 09:27:02 PM
I forgot what a great job Lynchburg does with their game coverage!  Such a pleasure to watch the Hornets defeat Randolph-Macon 2-0 in the ODAC QF this evening.  They're now "lucky" to get #1 seed HMC rather than either W&L and Roanoke who play in the other semi-final.

Yes. Ridiculous. Though Lynchburg and H-SC did play to a draw earlier in the season. In fact, both quarterfinal games are repeats of earlier draws. And if Lynchburg and W&L win, that will repeat an earlier draw. Roanoke and Lynchburg also drew in conference, though Roanoke won an early season OOC match 4-1. If H-SC wins, it will be the first time they will face whoever wins the other quarterfinal.

Christan Shirk

SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2019

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Washington and Lee
13-2-3
0.575
3-1-2
13-2-3
1
2.
Christopher Newport
12-2-3
0.597
3-2-2
12-2-3
2
3.
Mary Washington
12-3-3
0.622
2-2-2
12-3-3
3
4.
Centre
14-3-1
0.572
2-2-0
14-3-1
6
5.
Ramapo
11-1-5
0.579
1-0-1
11-1-5
7
6.
Rowan
10-4-3
0.609
1-1-2
10-4-3
8
7.
Roanoke
13-1-3
0.543
1-0-2
14-1-3
4
8.
Oglethorpe
13-3-0
0.549
2-2-0
13-3-0
5
Christan Shirk
Special Consultant and Advisor
D3soccer.com

jknezek

Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 06, 2019, 02:15:43 PM
SOUTH ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2019

Rank

School
. Div. III .
Record
. Div. III .
SOS

 . R-v-R .
. Overall .
Record
. Prev. .
Rank
1.
Washington and Lee
13-2-3
0.575
3-1-2
13-2-3
1
2.
Christopher Newport
12-2-3
0.597
3-2-2
12-2-3
2
3.
Mary Washington
12-3-3
0.622
2-2-2
12-3-3
3
4.
Centre
14-3-1
0.572
2-2-0
14-3-1
6
5.
Ramapo
11-1-5
0.579
1-0-1
11-1-5
7
6.
Rowan
10-4-3
0.609
1-1-2
10-4-3
8
7.
Roanoke
13-1-3
0.543
1-0-2
14-1-3
4
8.
Oglethorpe
13-3-0
0.549
2-2-0
13-3-0
5

Ouch. That puts Roanoke into more of a bind. Might need to win the ODAC AQ, or at the very least defeat W&L in the semi. Tough to get knocked down from 4 to 7 this late in the season. Wouldn't want to lose if I was the Generals either. Yes they are sitting at 1 and hold h2h over 3, but a 3rd loss could really shift them down. That loss to Va Wes might be brutal for the Generals.

Somewhat surprised CNU isn't 1. They tied W&L, granted it was at CNU, but they hold the SOS and an extra RvR result. If you are going to have them in front of Mary Washington despite the h2h, not sure why they are behind W&L with a draw.