2019 Pool C

[smedindy]

It looks like 2 West region at larges, perhaps...

Wartburg and Redlands. (Assuming Central and Wartburg win out).

Never saw that coming!

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Here's the top 3 from each region not projected to be pool A

East: Wesley, Cortland, Hobart
North: North Central, John Carroll, Olivet
South: Susquehanna, Randolph-Macon, Texas Lutheran
West: Redlands, Wartburg, Bethel

[smedindy]

Loras ain't horrible, so i don't think Wartburg's SOS will take that big of a hit.

[Inkblot]

Here's the top 3 from each region not projected to be pool A

East: Wesley, Cortland, Hobart
North: North Central, John Carroll, Olivet
South: Susquehanna, Berry, Randolph-Macon
West: Redlands, Wartburg, Bethel

Berry gets the Pool A bid if they win.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Here's the top 3 from each region not projected to be pool A

East: Wesley, Cortland, Hobart
North: North Central, John Carroll, Olivet
South: Susquehanna, Berry, Randolph-Macon
West: Redlands, Wartburg, Bethel

Berry gets the Pool A bid if they win.

I knew I'd miss one. Fixed it.

[Baldini]

Here's the top 3 from each region not projected to be pool A

East: Wesley, Cortland, Hobart
North: North Central, John Carroll, Olivet
South: Susquehanna, Berry, Randolph-Macon
West: Redlands, Wartburg, Bethel

Berry hasn't clinched yet, but aren't they the likely rep for the SAA?

[Baldini]

Here's the top 3 from each region not projected to be pool A

East: Wesley, Cortland, Hobart
North: North Central, John Carroll, Olivet
South: Susquehanna, Berry, Randolph-Macon
West: Redlands, Wartburg, Bethel

Berry gets the Pool A bid if they win.

I knew I'd miss one. Fixed it.

One little slip and everyone jumps all over it.

[wally_wabash]

New RR's are out:

https://www.d3football.com/playoffs/2019/second-regional-ranking

I think Bethel is the big loser in this. Can a win against St. Thomas get them ahead of Wartburg?

Probably not with Monmouth ranked.  That's a really significant thing this week. 

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Hopefully I have these numbers all correct

Wesley: 7-1, 1-1 RRO, .560 SOS
Cortland: 8-1, 0-1 RRO, .466 SOS

North Central: 8-1, 0-1 RRO, .498 SOS
John Carroll: 8-1, 0-1 RRO, .489 SOS

Susquehanna: 8-1, 0-1 RRO, .548 SOS
Randolph-Macon: 7-2, 0-1 RRO, .582 SOS

Redlands: 8-1, 1-1 RRO, .596 SOS
Wartburg: 8-1, 1-1 RRO, .576 SOS
Bethel: 8-1, 0-1 RRO, .494 SOS

First three picks seem super easy, fourth round has a clear SOS edge, then 5th round is a photo finish. I'm sure Wally will have a more detailed mock selection soon.
1) Wesley, North Central, Susquehanna, Redlands
2) Wesley, North Central, Susquehanna, Wartburg
3) Wesley, North Central, Susquehanna, Bethel
4) Cortland, North Central, Susquehanna, Bethel
5) Cortland, North Central, Randolph-Macon, Bethel (too close to call)

[USee]

Keep in mind Bethel's SOS will jump this week with STT on the docket and NCC's will trend lower while playing 4-5 Millikin. And JCU SOS will jump as well playing BW. Some really tenuous waters for these pool C teams.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

And Susquehanna's SOS will drop too with 2-7 Juniata. I think it would be absolutely ridiculous if they were to somehow be left out but they're definitely not secure.
Randolph-Macon has a giant SOS advantage on the 1 loss teams that could put them in the conversation right now but that will go down with 1-8 Hampden-Sydney and should take them out of contention.

[Inkblot]

I hope common sense prevails in the case of North Central.

[USee]

I hope common sense prevails in the case of North Central.

It may be that the North RAC is moving JCU up so that if/when NCC gets taken, they will be a higher ranked team on the North board than other teams from other regions. I have no idea why they would bump JCU over Hope and Aurora with inferior criteria.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

I hope common sense prevails in the case of North Central.

It may be that the North RAC is moving JCU up so that if/when NCC gets taken, they will be a higher ranked team on the North board than other teams from other regions. I have no idea why they would bump JCU over Hope and Aurora with inferior criteria.

But their regional rank has no bearing. Doesn't matter if it's N4 vs W6... W6 will still be selected first if they're better.

[AO]

Keep in mind Bethel's SOS will jump this week with STT on the docket and NCC's will trend lower while playing 4-5 Millikin. And JCU SOS will jump as well playing BW. Some really tenuous waters for these pool C teams.

Redlands SoS will also drop like a rock after playing winless Occidental.