Bracketology Projection

[Ralph Turner]

Similar sentiments, myself.

Here is a general question.

DePauw with 22 votes is the lowest total ever for a ranked team.

I count all but 138 votes given to the Top 25 teams. Is that the highest cumulative vote total given to the Top 25 teams, ever?

This week, all but 101 votes were given to the Top 25 teams. Only 38 teams received a vote.

This week, 38 teams and all but 99 votes go to the Top 25.

[TheChucker]

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (1-0) 4. Stevenson (1-1) 5. Springfield (1-1) 6. Merchant Marine (0-1) 7. Plymouth State (0-1) 8. Lebanon Valley (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (2-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (0-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (1-1) 6. Salisbury (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1) 8. Union (1-2)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (1-0) 4. Ohio Wesleyan (1-0) 5. Alma (0-1)  6. DePauw (0-1) 7. John Carroll (0-1)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Wartburg (1-0) 3. Lake Forest (1-0) 4. Ripon (1-1) 5. Wheaton (1-2)  6. Aurora (1-0) 7. WASH-U (0-2)  8. St. Norbert (0-2)
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (2-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (1-1) 6. George Fox (0-1) 7. Pomona-Pitzer (0-0) 8. UW-River Falls (0-3)
Week 6 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

Your bottom 4-team bracket of UMHB vs St. Johns and Trinity vs. Hardin-Simmons could be a quarterfinal from a team quality standpoint.

[Ralph Turner]

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (1-0) 4. Stevenson (1-1) 5. Springfield (1-1) 6. Merchant Marine (0-1) 7. Plymouth State (0-1) 8. Lebanon Valley (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (2-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (0-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (1-1) 6. Salisbury (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1) 8. Union (1-2)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (1-0) 4. Ohio Wesleyan (1-0) 5. Alma (0-1)  6. DePauw (0-1) 7. John Carroll (0-1)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Wartburg (1-0) 3. Lake Forest (1-0) 4. Ripon (1-1) 5. Wheaton (1-2)  6. Aurora (1-0) 7. WASH-U (0-2)  8. St. Norbert (0-2)
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (2-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (1-1) 6. George Fox (0-1) 7. Pomona-Pitzer (0-0) 8. UW-River Falls (0-3)
Week 6 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

Your bottom 4-team bracket of UMHB vs St. Johns and Trinity vs. Hardin-Simmons could be a quarterfinal from a team quality standpoint.

Yeah, welcome to the geographical proximity of every west of the Indiana-Illinois border.

[MRMIKESMITH]

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (1-0) 4. Stevenson (1-1) 5. Springfield (1-1) 6. Merchant Marine (0-1) 7. Plymouth State (0-1) 8. Lebanon Valley (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (2-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (0-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (1-1) 6. Salisbury (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1) 8. Union (1-2)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (1-0) 4. Ohio Wesleyan (1-0) 5. Alma (0-1)  6. DePauw (0-1) 7. John Carroll (0-1)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Wartburg (1-0) 3. Lake Forest (1-0) 4. Ripon (1-1) 5. Wheaton (1-2)  6. Aurora (1-0) 7. WASH-U (0-2)  8. St. Norbert (0-2)
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (2-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (1-1) 6. George Fox (0-1) 7. Pomona-Pitzer (0-0) 8. UW-River Falls (0-3)
Week 6 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

Your bottom 4-team bracket of UMHB vs St. Johns and Trinity vs. Hardin-Simmons could be a quarterfinal from a team quality standpoint.

Yeah, welcome to the geographical proximity of every west of the Indiana-Illinois border.

Although these things are openly discussed and this is just my honest opinion is that I think the committee would more than likely switched the Pomona-Pitzer with St. John's game to create an "higher percentage" that the 2nd round game is a non flight. Not saying these discussions actually happen.

[MRMIKESMITH]

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (1-0) 4. Kings (0-1) 5. Stevenson (1-1) 6. Springfield (1-1) 7. Merchant Marine (0-1) 8. Plymouth State (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (1-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (1-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (1-1) 6. Grove City (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1) 8. Union (1-2)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (0-0) 4. Alma (1-1) 5. John Carroll (0-1) 6. Wabash (0-1) 7. Trine (0-2)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Ripon (2-0) 3. Wartburg (0-0) 4. Wheaton (1-2) 5. Aurora (1-0) 6.  Lake Forest (0-1) 7. WASH-U (0-2)  8. St. Norbert (0-2)
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (1-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (0-1) 6. Pomona-Pitzer (1-0) 7. George Fox (0-1)  8. C-M-S (0-1)
Week 7 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

[Ralph Turner]

Similar sentiments, myself.

Here is a general question.

DePauw with 22 votes is the lowest total ever for a ranked team.

I count all but 138 votes given to the Top 25 teams. Is that the highest cumulative vote total given to the Top 25 teams, ever?

This week, all but 101 votes were given to the Top 25 teams. Only 38 teams received a vote.

This week, 38 teams and all but 99 votes go to the Top 25.

For the Top 25 of October 16, 2022, forty-three (43) teams receive votes with all but 110 votes going to the Top 25.

[Inkblot]

Two notable changes, per the D3 championships committee report (https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/committees/d3/champs/SEP2022D3CC_September1213Report.pdf):

1. No region will have more than seven teams ranked.

2. The flight threshold is back at 500 miles.

[tigerguy]

Not sure how updated this is, but I just came across this map of the D3 football teams landscape. Never truly appreciated on how much of an island Texas and the western states are in D3:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/01/NCAA_Division_3_football_map.gif

[D3fanboy]

Two notable changes, per the D3 championships committee report (https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/committees/d3/champs/SEP2022D3CC_September1213Report.pdf):

1. No region will have more than seven teams ranked.

2. The flight threshold is back at 500 miles.

Welcome to Mount and the #1 "East" seed hosting quadrants on the same side of the bracket

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Not sure how updated this is, but I just came across this map of the D3 football teams landscape. Never truly appreciated on how much of an island Texas and the western states are in D3:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/01/NCAA_Division_3_football_map.gif

That looks like it's been several years. No Nebraska Wesleyan or Finlandia, Earlham and Thomas More still listed, etc.
We have our own map that's current to this season.  http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=8975.msg2048428#msg2048428
Here's the MAP

[MRMIKESMITH]

Two notable changes, per the D3 championships committee report (https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/committees/d3/champs/SEP2022D3CC_September1213Report.pdf):

1. No region will have more than seven teams ranked.

2. The flight threshold is back at 500 miles.

Welcome to Mount and the #1 "East" seed hosting quadrants on the same side of the bracket

Yup, you are right. There really isn't a difference between 500 and 600 miles for football. What increasing from 500 to 600 was to allow for more equitable matchups within the centralized areas in R1, R2, and connect more R4 teams to R5 and R6 teams.

[MRMIKESMITH]

I updated the projected rankings based upon 7 team limit per region. Also, updated the bracket for the reduction of the 600 miles limit to 500 miles. Bracket looks like the old boring brackets. But it is what is.

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (0-0) 4. Kings (0-1) 5. Stevenson (0-2) 6. Springfield (1-0) 7. Merchant Marine (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (1-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (1-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (0-1) 6. Grove City (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (0-0) 4. Alma (1-1) 5. John Carroll (0-1) 6. Wabash (0-1) 7. Trine (0-2)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Ripon (1-0) 3. Wartburg (0-0) 4. Wheaton (1-2) 5. Aurora (0-0) 6.  Lake Forest (0-1) 7. WASH-U (0-2)   
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (1-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (0-1) 6. Pomona-Pitzer (0-0) 7. George Fox (0-1) 
Week 7 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

[IC798891]

I updated the projected rankings based upon 7 team limit per region. Also, updated the bracket for the reduction of the 600 miles limit to 500 miles. Bracket looks like the old boring brackets. But it is what is.

Region 1 Projected RR: 1. Delaware Valley (2-0) 2. Endicott (0-0) 3. Mass-Dartmouth (0-0) 4. Kings (0-1) 5. Stevenson (0-2) 6. Springfield (1-0) 7. Merchant Marine (0-1)
Region 2 Projected RR: 1. Cortland State (2-0) 2. Johns Hopkins (1-0) 3. Carnegie Mellon (1-0) 4. Ithaca (1-1) 5. Utica (0-1) 6. Grove City (0-1) 7. Susquehanna (0-1)
Region 3 Projected RR: 1. Trinity (TX) (2-0) 2. R-MC (1-0) 3. UMHB (1-1)  4. Huntingdon (1-1) 5. Hardin-Simmons (0-1) 6. Bridgewater (0-1) 7. B-SC (0-2)
Region 4 Projected RR: 1. Mount Union (1-0) 2. Albion (2-0) 3. MSJ (0-0) 4. Alma (1-1) 5. John Carroll (0-1) 6. Wabash (0-1) 7. Trine (0-2)
Region 5 Projected RR: 1. NCC (2-0) 2. Ripon (1-0) 3. Wartburg (0-0) 4. Wheaton (1-2) 5. Aurora (0-0) 6.  Lake Forest (0-1) 7. WASH-U (0-2)   
Region 6 Projected RR:  1. Linfield (2-0) 2. Bethel (2-0) 3. St. John's (1-2) 4. UW-W (2-1) 5. UW-L (0-1) 6. Pomona-Pitzer (0-0) 7. George Fox (0-1) 
Week 7 WAY TOO EARLY Unofficial DIII Bracketology

Ithaca should be 0-1 in this

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Here's the current Pool C eliminator through week 8. I think I've caught all the scenarios of teams who must lose again to be pool C.
Teams with gold border are in/tied for first in their conference.
Teams with an asterisk have a non-D3 loss that's not being factored into their loss total.

[Ralph Turner]

Similar sentiments, myself.

Here is a general question.

DePauw with 22 votes is the lowest total ever for a ranked team.

I count all but 138 votes given to the Top 25 teams. Is that the highest cumulative vote total given to the Top 25 teams, ever?

For the week of October 2, 2022, all but 101 votes were given to the Top 25 teams. Only 38 teams received a vote. "RV#26" WashUStL received 22 votes

For the week of October 9, 2022, 38 teams and all but 99 votes go to the Top 25. "RV#26" Lake Forest received 27 votes

For the Top 25 of October 16, 2022, forty-three (43) teams receive votes with all but 110 votes going to the Top 25. "RV#26" Utica received 43 votes.

For the Top 25 of October 23, 2022, forty-one (41) teams received votes with all but 105 votes going to the Top 25. "RV#26" WashUStL received 20 votes.