Bracketology Projection

[USee]

Similar to 2019 I could definitely see the FIVE RAC WashU to the bottom of the rankings to give Wheaton an extra RRO. WashU is 7-3, .518, 0-3.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

The D3 crew have their projected bracket posted... and even they are choosing a 2 loss pool C team

La Crosse is in, BSC if they have 2 RRO are pretty locked in. That leaves H-S, Wheaton, Bethel, Johns Hopkins, Ithaca, Randolph-Macon for the other 3 spots. Regions 1 and 4 are getting no one in. It's going to come down to who sneaks into the bottom of the final rankings to boost a team's RRO and is there any change in the order at the table (who's ahead in regions 2 and 3).

Compared to their projected rankings... I think Susquehanna should sneak in ahead of Carnegie Mellon in Region 2... same record, nearly identical SoS, but Susquehanna is 0-2 RRO while Carnegie is 0-0. Susquehanna being in boosts Johns Hopkins chances.

Centre or Washington & Lee in region 3? Both 2 loss teams, Centre just slightly better SoS, but W&L has a RRO win. BSC probably gets in anyways, but Centre being ranked locks them in while W&L not being ranked pretty much eliminates any hope for Randolph-Macon.

Less than 24 hours left to wait now

[ADL70]

Isn't Carnegie Mellon the PAC AQ?

[Baldini]

Since no one seems to like my thought of a 2 loss team making the field (I truly believe at least 1 will get in with all the mediocre 1 loss options), here's my take on a bracket with La Crosse, BSC, H-S, Wheaton, and Johns Hopkins as pool C.

Greenville @ (1) Mary Hardin-Baylor
Hardin-Simmons @ Trinity (TX)
Huntingdon @ Birmingham-Southern
Redlands @ (2) Linfield

Aurora @ (1) UW-Whitewater
Rose-Hulman @ Central
Wheaton @ UW-La Crosse
Lake Forest @ (2) St John's

Carnegie Mellon @ (1) North Central
DePauw @ Albion
Washington & Lee @ Salisbury
Springfield @ (2) Mount Union

Springfield @ (1) Delaware Valley
Johns Hopkins @ RPI
Endicott @ Muhlenberg
Framingham St @ (2) Cortland

2 flights round 1, I think just 1 round 2.

Is Springfield going to go split squad and play two games?

[IC798891]

It's not the only criteria but since its only happened 1x in the pool era (picking a 2 loss team over a 1 loss team) it seems like its a pretty important one. It's hard to evaluate these teams with limited data. But the football minds of the committee have the flexibility to use the criteria to find the best teams.

I think it's very unlikely Ithaca gets into the playoffs. Two losses is two losses. But, part of me also thinks, as flawed as SOS is, that there should be some reward for playing a tough team OOC. If all the Pool Cs are 9-1 teams, you might as well not bother with a tough OOC game, because you're basically saying you need to be unbeaten in OOC play.

Hoping to be wrong, though

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Since no one seems to like my thought of a 2 loss team making the field (I truly believe at least 1 will get in with all the mediocre 1 loss options), here's my take on a bracket with La Crosse, BSC, H-S, Wheaton, and Johns Hopkins as pool C.

Greenville @ (1) Mary Hardin-Baylor
Hardin-Simmons @ Trinity (TX)
Huntingdon @ Birmingham-Southern
Redlands @ (2) Linfield

Aurora @ (1) UW-Whitewater
Rose-Hulman @ Central
Wheaton @ UW-La Crosse
Lake Forest @ (2) St John's

Carnegie Mellon @ (1) North Central
DePauw @ Albion
Washington & Lee @ Salisbury
Springfield @ (2) Mount Union

Springfield @ (1) Delaware Valley
Johns Hopkins @ RPI
Endicott @ Muhlenberg
Framingham St @ (2) Cortland

2 flights round 1, I think just 1 round 2.

Is Springfield going to go split squad and play two games?

Probably not much difference in final scores.
I think Anna Maria is the team I forgot so stick them in there.

[Baldini]

Since no one seems to like my thought of a 2 loss team making the field (I truly believe at least 1 will get in with all the mediocre 1 loss options), here's my take on a bracket with La Crosse, BSC, H-S, Wheaton, and Johns Hopkins as pool C.

Greenville @ (1) Mary Hardin-Baylor
Hardin-Simmons @ Trinity (TX)
Huntingdon @ Birmingham-Southern
Redlands @ (2) Linfield

Aurora @ (1) UW-Whitewater
Rose-Hulman @ Central
Wheaton @ UW-La Crosse
Lake Forest @ (2) St John's

Carnegie Mellon @ (1) North Central
DePauw @ Albion
Washington & Lee @ Salisbury
Springfield @ (2) Mount Union

Springfield @ (1) Delaware Valley
Johns Hopkins @ RPI
Endicott @ Muhlenberg
Framingham St @ (2) Cortland

2 flights round 1, I think just 1 round 2.

Is Springfield going to go split squad and play two games?

Probably not much difference in final scores.
I think Anna Maria is the team I forgot so stick them in there.

Just some friendly ribbing on a Sunday morning.

[USee]

I think WashU gets ranked in region 5 in final rankings. That gives Wheaton another RRO and gets them picked as the 2nd or 3rd Pool C.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

I think WashU gets ranked in region 5 in final rankings. That gives Wheaton another RRO and gets them picked as the 2nd or 3rd Pool C.

I keep thinking of them... but they lost to Chicago and I think they stay behind them.

[USee]

I think WashU gets ranked in region 5 in final rankings. That gives Wheaton another RRO and gets them picked as the 2nd or 3rd Pool C.

I keep thinking of them... but they lost to Chicago and I think they stay behind them.

The Five knows how the system works. WashU will be ranked. Book it

[BSCpanthers]

Link to the show???

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Link to the show???

https://www.d3football.com/videolink/selection-show-2021

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

First bracket

Lake Forest @ St John's
Redlands @ Linfield
Trinity (TX) @ UMHB
Huntingdon @ Birmingham-Southern

BSC the first Pool C listed... don't think H-S will be picked with Trinity going to UMHB

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

2nd bracket

Greenville @ UW-Whitewater
Rose-Hulman @ DePauw
Bethel @ Central
Aurora @ Wheaton

Bethel the 2nd pool C... and a 2 loss team is in
Wheaton the 3rd pool C named

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Top right bracket

Carnegie Mellon @ North Central
UW-La Crosse @ Albion
Springfield @ Cortland
RPI @ Endicott

4th pool C named is UWL... but they're on the road