UAA Women's Soccer 2021

deiscanton · October 31, 2021, 12:52:39 PM

End of regulation at Gaelic Park. NYU and Emory tied 0-0, heading for golden goal extra time.

deiscanton · October 31, 2021, 12:55:09 PM

Final in Cleveland. CWRU has handed Wash U their first loss of the season and in UAA play.

Final score: CWRU 1, Wash U 0

In Pittsburgh, Carnegie Mellon leading over Chicago, 4-0, on a goal from Maria Askounas in the 88th minute. Askounas has now scored a brace on the match.

The Carnegie Mellon v Chicago match has now gone final, with Carnegie Mellon winning, 4-0.

deiscanton · October 31, 2021, 01:04:58 PM

Final in Waltham: Brandeis 2, Rochester 1

Brandeis improves to 10-4-2, 3-3 in the UAA. The chances for a Pool C for Brandeis now look good, even if only one of the two Brandeis wins this weekend eventually counts as an RvR.

(I would not be surprised if Rochester is not ranked in the top 20% of Region III this Wednesday, having suffered an 0-2 weekend in RvR and starting this week at #7 in Region III.)

deiscanton · October 31, 2021, 01:10:01 PM

After 1 extra time period, Emory and NYU still deadlocked at 0-0.

1:23 PM Eastern update-- Emory and NYU finish with a 0-0 draw. Emory may need a win next week at Rochester to solidify their Pool C chances.

Wash U clinched the AQ on Friday, so they are in the NCAAs.

If I had to guess right now without the Week 3 rankings being published, I would say that Chicago, CWRU, and Carnegie Mellon will definitely be in as Pool C teams. Brandeis may have solidfied their Pool C entry this weekend with 2 UAA wins over Emory and Rochester. Emory may still get in as a Pool C, but needs a win next Saturday at Rochester.

One primary criterion that no one has to worry about in the UAA is the Strength of Schedule, both in conference and in non-conference action.

Rochester is definitely out of the running as far as Pool C goes, and NYU, while definitely not out of the Pool C running, did not help matters much by drawing with Emory when the Violets needed a win today.

deiscanton · November 03, 2021, 05:19:47 PM

The Week #3 Regional Rankings are out, and it is official-- every UAA Women's Soccer match is a result vs ranked this season. Congratulations.

It looks like the UAA could get 5 Pool C bids out of the 20 into the NCAA field with the way these rankings turn out-- which could be a record for the UAA in DIII women's soccer.

7 of the 8 UAA Women's soccer teams are ranked at #1, #2, or #3 this week in their respective evaluation regions--

Brandeis-- #2 in Region II
Rochester--#7 in Region III
NYU-- #3 in Region IV
Emory-- #3 in Region VI
Case Western Reserve-- #1 in Region VII
Carnegie Mellon--#2 in Region VII
Wash U--#1 in Region VIII (UAA Champion-- AQ)
Chicago--#2 in Region VIII

On another note, it took a few hours, because the NCAA's Toughest Schedule page had not been updated since October 28 as of this morning, but I was trying to compute the SOS for Brandeis by creating a spreadsheet to input results from games played since October 27, and I was able to get Brandeis's SOS correctly computed at .668 through October 31. This is based on Brandeis having an OWP through games played as of Sunday October 31 of .718, down from .730 as of games played October 27.

It is also not out of the question for NYU to be considered for a potential 6th Pool C bid out of the UAA if the Violets defeat Brandeis on Saturday and conference tournament results pan out. Not as likely for NYU to get a Pool C, but at #3 in an evaluation region, it cannot be ruled out. (I have Chicago, CWRU, Carnegie Mellon, Emory, and Brandeis in as Pool C's to the women's tournament as of this time.)

Update-- The Toughest Schedule page has now been updated through games played Nov. 2. Brandeis currently has an OWP of .708, which is still #1 among full members of DIII. (#2 overall in DIII according to the NCAA) A first year provisional school in Region VI, Asbury University, now has a higher OWP than Brandeis. (Asbury's OWP is marked at .711, but since Asbury does not become a full member of DIII until 2024-2025, it is really fair to claim that Asbury has the toughest DIII schedule?)

WUPHF · November 03, 2021, 05:28:54 PM

Good work, Allen! I hope you bring this energy to basketball season. In January if not November or December.

PlaySimple · November 03, 2021, 07:29:49 PM

Quote from: deiscanton on November 03, 2021, 05:19:47 PMA provisional school in Region VI, Asbury University, now has a higher OWP than Brandeis. (Asbury's OWP is marked at .711, but since Asbury does not become a full member of DIII until 2024-2025, it is really fair to claim that Asbury has the toughest DIII schedule?)

I'm guessing that Asbury is now an NAIA school? It seems that way due to there being NAIA schools on their schedule.

Sometimes I struggle with how the OWP is calculated. Below is a link to Asbury's schedule. I'm familiar with a good number of those schools. TBH, it is not a tough schedule. Asbury would likely have a tough time winning a game if they were to play a schedule like what the UAA, NESCAC, or schools in any top league would play.

deiscanton · November 04, 2021, 09:09:51 AM

Quote from: PlaySimple on November 03, 2021, 07:29:49 PM
Quote from: deiscanton on November 03, 2021, 05:19:47 PMA provisional school in Region VI, Asbury University, now has a higher OWP than Brandeis. (Asbury's OWP is marked at .711, but since Asbury does not become a full member of DIII until 2024-2025, it is really fair to claim that Asbury has the toughest DIII schedule?)

I'm guessing that Asbury is now an NAIA school? It seems that way due to there being NAIA schools on their schedule.

Sometimes I struggle with how the OWP is calculated. Below is a link to Asbury's schedule. I'm familiar with a good number of those schools. TBH, it is not a tough schedule. Asbury would likely have a tough time winning a game if they were to play a schedule like what the UAA, NESCAC, or schools in any top league would play.

I have checked Asbury's schedule this season. Asbury only played 8 DIII opponents (from the SAA, ODAC, Heartland, and USA South), and it looked like this year was to introduce the Eagles (from Kentucky) to what playing at least some DIII opponents would be like for a new team making their full entrance in DIII in a few years. Yes, Asbury is moving from the NAIA, and is now a first year provisional school in DIII. The exploratory year was waived by the NCAA earlier this year, so Asbury only needs 3 years of provisional status before they become a full member of DIII. Even though Asbury's OWP was .711 for the 8 DIII games that they played this season, their OOWP was only .503. Overall, Brandeis has the tougher schedule by far. Brandeis has a .668 SOS through games played as of October 31, while Asbury's SOS is only .648. The current Asbury SOS through games played November 2 drops to .641. Asbury went 3-5 in their games vs DIII opposition this season.

Update Nov. 4, 1:48 PM Eastern-- Based on my calculations from the data provided by the NCAA through games played Nov. 2, I calculated Brandeis's SOS through the Nov. 2 games at .661 The OWP is naturally going to take some hits this week (as it will for most teams) as most of Brandeis's non-conference opponents will be losing this week by being eliminated in their conference tournaments. As of the Brandeis non-confernce opponents, only MIT, Lasell, UMass-Boston, Lesley, Bridgewater State, and Springfield are still alive in their conference tournaments, with MIT and Lesley favorites to win their conference AQs.

PlaySimple · November 04, 2021, 12:33:42 PM

Quote from: PlaySimple on November 03, 2021, 07:29:49 PM

I'm guessing that Asbury is now an NAIA school? It seems that way due to there being NAIA schools on their schedule.

Sometimes I struggle with how the OWP is calculated. Below is a link to Asbury's schedule. I'm familiar with a good number of those schools. TBH, it is not a tough schedule. Asbury would likely have a tough time winning a game if they were to play a schedule like what the UAA, NESCAC, or schools in any top league would play.

I forgot to include the link to Asbury's schedule. Here it is > https://asburyeagles.com/sports/womens-soccer/schedule

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 10:51:30 AM

Senior Day about to start at Rochester and NYU, and yes, I did subscribe to a 1 month subscription on the Rochester All-Access service this week, as I am planning to catch some non-conference basketball home games on their service this month as well.

Planning to watch the Brandeis women at NYU on the live video now, but I will have Emory at Rochester on live stats, and will watch that game on demand this weekend.

Later today, Chicago at Wash U.

Pool C candidates Chicago, Brandeis, Emory, CWRU and Carnegie Mellon trying to improve their resumes with a RvR. NYU also looking for another RvR as well. Assuming Misericordia wins today, NYU will also be on the national table first out of Region IV, but NYU looks most likely to remain on the national table without getting selected.

11:18 AM Eastern-- Scores are 0-0 at both Brandeis v NYU and Emory v Rochester. It looks like the NYU commentator has had problems with his microphone all morning. I can hardly hear him.

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 11:29:12 AM

Brandeis has taken a 1-0 lead on NYU on a goal from Sydney Lenhart with an assist by Caroline Swan in the 25th minute.

Update-- The goal was scored off a set piece-- off Brandeis's 4th corner of the match.

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 11:45:19 AM

According to the NYU commentator, it seems that the problems with his microphone have been mostly fixed. It is a little better, at least I can hear him when he is speaking with the microphone on. The microphone is still breaking up a little bit....

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 11:51:20 AM

Halftime at Gaelic Park in New York-- Brandeis leading 1-0 over NYU at the half.

Brandeis is leading on shots, 8-2, and on shots on target, 5-0.

Brandeis has the edge on corners, 6-0.

NYU called once for offsides, while Brandeis was not called for offsides in the first half.

NYU committed 6 fouls to Brandeis's 5 fouls.

No bookings in this half.

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 11:59:55 AM

Halftime in Rochester-- Emory and Rochester are deadlocked at 0-0 at the break.

Emory leading on shots, 8-5, and in shots on target, 5-1.

Emory leading on corners, 4-3.

No team called for offsides this half.

Emory committed 2 fouls to Rochester's one.

No bookings this half.

deiscanton · November 06, 2021, 12:16:15 PM

Brandeis now leading over NYU, 2-0, on a goal from Ruby Siegel with an assist from Lauren Mastrandrea in the 53rd minute.

Also in Region II, MIT is leading 1-0 over Springfield in the NEWMAC title game with a quick goal in the second minute. Brandeis undergrad Jonah White is doing the call of the NEWMAC women's championship game. An MIT win gets Brandeis first to the national table out of Region II and a Brandeis win today will most likely secure a Pool C bid for the Judges if it had not been already secured last weekend.