2022 NCAA Regional Rankings

Christan Shirk · October 19, 2022, 04:05:45 PM

Coming Wednesday: the rankings that matter

https://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2022/the-rankings-that-matter

2022 NCAA Regional Rankings

https://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2022/about

Christan Shirk · October 19, 2022, 04:05:59 PM

REGION I REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Amherst	7-1-4	0.639	--	7-1-4	--
.	Bowdoin	9-1-2	0.564	--	9-1-2	--
.	Hamilton	8-1-3	0.602	--	8-1-3	--
.	Johnson and Wales	11-1-2	0.530	--	11-1-2	--
.	Middlebury	9-1-2	0.622	--	9-1-2	--
.	Wesleyan	6-3-3	0.587	--	6-3-3	--
.	Williams	4-1-7	0.587	--	4-1-7	--

REGION II REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Babson	9-3-2	0.573	--	9-3-2	--
.	Coast Guard	8-2-3	0.539	--	8-2-3	--
.	Endicott	9-3-3	0.577	--	9-3-3	--
.	Roger Williams	9-2-4	0.501	--	9-2-4	--
.	Wheaton (Mass.)	5-4-5	0.556	--	5-4-5	--
.	WPI	5-4-4	0.576	--	5-4-4	--

REGION III REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Clarkson	8-2-3	0.559	--	8-2-3	--
.	Rochester	6-2-4	0.605	--	6-2-4	--
.	St. Lawrence	8-1-5	0.539	--	8-1-5	--
.	Cortland State	11-3-2	0.581	--	11-3-2	--
.	New Paltz State	7-4-3	0.592	--	7-4-3	--
.	Oneonta State	9-2-2	0.536	--	9-2-2	--
.	Vassar	7-3-3	0.604	--	7-3-3	--

REGION IV REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Lancaster Bible	9-3-3	0.520	--	9-3-3	--
.	Lycoming	7-4-4	0.585	--	7-4-4	--
.	Misericordia	9-1-4	0.528	--	9-1-4	--
.	Montclair State	11-1-3	0.558	--	11-1-3	--
.	New York University	6-4-2	0.615	--	6-4-2	--
.	Rowan	6-5-4	0.589	--	6-5-4	--
.	Stevens	11-0-2	0.570	--	11-0-2	--

REGION V REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Catholic	8-2-4	0.566	--	8-2-4	--
.	Drew	10-2-3	0.595	--	10-2-3	--
.	Elizabethtown	8-4-2	0.566	--	8-4-2	--
.	Franklin and Marshall	9-1-4	0.600	--	9-1-4	--
.	Gettysburg	7-3-3	0.563	--	7-3-3	--
.	Johns Hopkins	11-0-3	0.570	--	11-0-3	--
.	Messiah	13-0-1	0.607	--	13-0-1	--

Christan Shirk · October 19, 2022, 04:07:28 PM

REGION VI REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Christopher Newport	9-2-1	0.615	--	9-2-1	--
.	Lynchburg	9-0-5	0.565	--	9-0-5	--
.	Mary Washington	7-3-2	0.613	--	7-3-2	--
.	Roanoke	6-5-2	0.589	--	6-5-2	--
.	Sewanee	11-3-0	0.524	--	11-3-0	--
.	Virginia Wesleyan	7-3-4	0.548	--	8-3-4	--
.	Washington and Lee	9-1-4	0.614	--	9-1-4	--

REGION VII REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Carnegie Mellon	9-3-1	0.571	--	9-3-1	--
.	Case Western Reserve	6-3-3	0.585	--	6-3-3	--
.	Denison	8-2-3	0.543	--	8-2-3	--
.	John Carroll	9-4-1	0.605	--	9-4-1	--
.	Kenyon	12-0-1	0.545	--	12-0-1	--
.	Ohio Northern	9-2-3	0.605	--	9-2-3	--
.	Rose-Hulman	10-1-2	0.503	--	10-1-2	--

REGION VIII REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Calvin	10-1-1	0.558	--	12-1-2	--
.	Concordia (Wis.)	7-3-4	0.571	--	7-3-4	--
.	Dominican	8-3-3	0.560	--	8-3-3	--
.	North Central (Ill.)	11-0-4	0.588	--	11-0-4	--
.	North Park	11-1-1	0.554	--	11-1-1	--
.	Chicago	14-0-0	0.619	--	14-0-0	--
.	Washington U.	6-3-2	0.569	--	6-3-2	--

REGION IX REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Gustavus Adolphus	9-0-4	0.577	--	9-0-4	--
.	Loras	7-5-1	0.585	--	7-5-1	--
.	Luther	8-2-4	0.565	--	8-2-4	--
.	St. Olaf	9-5-0	0.595	--	9-5-0	--
.	Wartburg	6-1-7	0.547	--	6-1-7	--
.	UW-Eau Claire	14-2-0	0.552	--	14-2-0	--
.	UW-Platteville	10-2-2	0.590	--	10-2-2	--

REGION X REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 19, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
.	Cal Lutheran	5-2-6	0.542	--	5-2-6	--
.	Colorado College	6-2-4	0.549	--	6-2-4	--
.	Mary Hardin-Baylor	7-1-2	0.552	--	9-1-2	--
.	Pacific Lutheran	12-2-0	0.528	--	12-2-0	--
.	St. Thomas (Texas)	9-1-3	0.520	--	9-1-3	--
.	Trinity (Texas)	7-3-2	0.529	--	7-3-2	--
.	Willamette	10-1-2	0.549	--	10-1-2	--

Christan Shirk · October 19, 2022, 04:08:49 PM

Remember that these first rankings are in alphabetical order, not ranked order.

paclassic89 · October 20, 2022, 12:50:42 AM

Some observations:

It would be nice, at some point, if the committee attempted to quantify exactly how much SOS is weighted into the ranking decisions. We know that it is valued more than the D1 RPI formula values. D1 is constantly tweaking the adjusted RPI formula to get the effect of a win or loss over a ranked opponent exactly how they want it. What is preventing D3 from providing an objective data point? A case in point would be the omission of undefeated Western Connecticut from the Region I rankings and the addition of 4-1-7 Williams. If we went by RPI, WeConn would be 5th in the region (.6141) and Williams 8th (.5987). This isn't particularly close as far as RPI goes. Conn College has a similar RPI (.5943) to Williams with a better SOS.

On the other side of this, if you have a winning % below .500, you're not getting ranked. Even if you have a gaudy SOS. Emory (.5753), Virginia Wesleyan (.5753), Roanoke (.5741), and Sewanee (.572) are all neck and neck at the bottom of the Region VI rankings. Sewanee got in over Emory despite a massive difference in SOS. Emory .629 and Sewanee .524

In Region VIII, MSOE gets bumped out of the 7th spot by Concordia Wisconsin due to SOS

In Region X, Cal Lutheran and Texas Lutheran are basically dead even but they go with Cal Lutheran with the slightly better winning % over Texas Lutheran's slightly better SOS

Now we get RvR next week to add another element of committee subjectivity into the mix

FWIW, RPI predicted 64/69 of the rankings this week with all of the changes at the theoretical 6 and 7 spots

Christan Shirk · October 26, 2022, 03:36:21 PM

REGION I - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Amherst	8-1-5	0.637	4-0-3	8-1-5	Y
2.	Bowdoin	11-1-2	0.558	2-1-2	11-1-2	Y
3.	Middlebury	9-2-3	0.613	1-1-3	9-2-3	Y
4.	Hamilton	8-2-4	0.595	1-2-2	8-2-4	Y
5.	Tufts	7-2-5	0.578	2-2-2	7-2-5	--
6.	Connecticut College	7-4-3	0.596	2-3-2	7-4-3	--
7.	Williams	5-1-8	0.581	1-0-5	5-1-8	Y

REGION II - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Babson	11-3-2	0.581	3-1-1	11-3-2	Y
2.	Endicott	11-3-4	0.563	1-1-1	11-3-4	Y
3.	WPI	6-4-5	0.597	2-3-3	6-4-5	Y
4.	Coast Guard	9-2-4	0.523	1-1-3	9-2-4	Y
5.	Roger Williams	12-2-4	0.514	1-2-1	12-2-4	Y
6.	Wheaton (Mass.)	6-4-6	0.568	0-1-4	6-4-6	Y

REGION III - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Cortland State	12-4-2	0.590	3-4-0	12-4-2	Y
2.	Oneonta State	11-2-2	0.545	3-0-0	11-2-2	Y
3.	Vassar	7-3-4	0.609	1-2-2	7-3-4	Y
4.	Rochester	6-3-4	0.623	1-1-2	6-3-4	Y
5.	St. Lawrence	9-1-5	0.543	1-1-2	9-1-5	Y
6.	New Paltz State	9-4-3	0.580	1-4-0	9-4-3	Y
7.	Clarkson	8-3-3	0.546	2-0-2	8-3-3	Y

REGION IV - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Stevens	13-0-2	0.570	5-0-0	13-0-2	Y
2.	Montclair State	12-1-4	0.548	2-0-1	12-1-4	Y
3.	New York University	7-4-2	0.615	1-4-1	7-4-2	Y
4.	Misericordia	9-3-4	0.532	1-1-0	9-3-4	Y
5.	Lycoming	9-4-4	0.558	0-4-2	9-4-4	Y
6.	Rowan	8-5-4	0.572	1-3-1	8-5-4	Y
7.	Lancaster Bible	11-3-3	0.507	0-0-2	11-3-3	Y

REGION V - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Messiah	15-0-1	0.577	5-0-1	15-0-1	Y
2.	Johns Hopkins	11-0-5	0.566	4-0-1	11-0-5	Y
3.	Franklin and Marshall	11-1-4	0.573	1-1-2	11-1-4	Y
4.	Catholic	10-2-4	0.572	2-1-2	10-2-4	Y
5.	Drew	11-2-4	0.583	1-2-0	11-2-4	Y
6.	Alvernia	10-2-5	0.533	2-2-1	10-2-5	--
7.	Gettysburg	9-3-3	0.557	0-2-2	9-3-3	Y

Christan Shirk · October 26, 2022, 03:37:16 PM

REGION VI - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Washington and Lee	11-1-4	0.605	2-1-3	11-1-4	Y
2.	Mary Washington	9-3-2	0.628	4-3-1	9-3-2	Y
3.	Christopher Newport	10-3-1	0.608	2-3-1	10-3-1	Y
4.	Lynchburg	10-1-5	0.565	2-0-3	10-1-5	Y
5.	Virginia Wesleyan	9-3-4	0.540	1-3-1	10-3-4	Y
6.	Sewanee	12-3-0	0.517	0-1-0	12-3-0	Y
7.	Covenant	6-3-5	0.539	0-2-1	8-3-5	--

REGION VII - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Kenyon	14-0-1	0.533	4-0-0	14-0-1	Y
2.	Ohio Northern	11-2-3	0.591	2-2-1	11-2-3	Y
3.	John Carroll	11-4-1	0.594	1-4-1	11-4-1	Y
4.	Carnegie Mellon	9-3-1	0.582	1-3-1	9-3-1	Y
5.	Case Western Reserve	6-3-3	0.600	1-2-2	7-3-3	Y
6.	Ohio Wesleyan	6-4-4	0.602	1-4-2	6-4-4	--
7.	Denison	8-4-3	0.565	0-2-0	8-4-3	Y

REGION VIII - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Chicago	14-0-0	0.613	7-0-0	14-0-0	Y
2.	North Central (Ill.)	13-0-4	0.569	1-0-3	13-0-4	Y
3.	North Park	11-2-2	0.548	3-1-1	11-2-2	Y
4.	Calvin	11-2-1	0.549	1-1-0	132-0	Y
5.	Washington U.	6-3-2	0.569	1-1-2	6-3-2	Y
6.	Wheaton (Ill.)	7-4-4	0.557	2-4-0	7-4-4	--
7.	MSOE	12-2-3	0.522	1-1-1	8-3-5	--

REGION IX - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Gustavus Adolphus	11-0-4	0.569	3-0-1	11-0-4	Y
2.	UW-Eau Claire	17-2-0	0.552	2-1-0	17-2-0	Y
3.	UW-Platteville	12-3-2	0.585	3-2-1	12-3-2	Y
4.	St. Olaf	11-5-0	0.584	2-4-0	11-5-0	Y
5.	Wartburg	7-1-8	0.551	1-1-3	7-1-8	Y
6.	Luther	9-3-5	0.562	1-3-1	9-3-5	Y
7.	Loras	9-5-1	0.543	0-4-0	9-5-1	Y

REGION X - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 26, 2022

Rank	School	. Div. III . Record	. Div. III . SOS	. R-v-R .	. Overall . Record	. Prev. . Rank
1.	Willamette	12-1-2	0.532	2-0-1	12-1-2	Y
2.	Mary Hardin-Baylor	9-1-2	0.534	1-1-0	11-1-2	Y
3.	Pacific Lutheran	13-3-0	0.529	2-1-0	13-3-0	Y
4.	St. Thomas (Texas)	11-1-3	0.515	2-0-1	11-1-3	Y
5.	Whitman	8-5-1	0.550	3-1-0	10-6-1	--
6.	Colorado College	8-2-4	0.519	1-2-1	8-2-4	Y
7.	Trinity (Texas)	8-4-2	0.531	0-3-1	8-4-2	Y

PaulNewman · October 26, 2022, 04:00:59 PM

Props to UWEC...17-2...decent SoS...two ranked wins.

This year's other darling Western CT now 17-0-1 unranked.

jknezek · October 26, 2022, 04:02:49 PM

Kind of amazed that Western Conn didn't crack that last spot in Region 1. Williams has won 6 games. Does Western Conn win more than 6 games against Williams schedule? Probably not... but Western Conn has the common opponent with Trinity that gives them legitimacy to not make this a NESCAC sweep. I think I would have leaned that way. You can always take it back with the NESCAC tournament results later.

PaulNewman · October 26, 2022, 04:09:13 PM

Exactly half of Chicago's 14 wins are ranked wins...with good possibility of picking up a couple more.

jknezek · October 26, 2022, 04:24:39 PM

I'm irritated that Cortland State is ranked ahead of Oneonta State. That was a 3-0 shellacking last week. Ignoring a recent H2H like that when you are putting teams one after the other just kills me. The game is played on the field and should matter. Now if you thought on the season Cortland was 1 and Oneonta was 4 or 5 or lower, that I get. But 1 and 2, with a week old H2H... uggh.

At least leave it alone for another week and then claim the result went stale or something.

paclassic89 · October 26, 2022, 04:30:04 PM

Quote from: jknezek on October 26, 2022, 04:02:49 PM
Kind of amazed that Western Conn didn't crack that last spot in Region 1. Williams has won 6 games. Does Western Conn win more than 6 games against Williams schedule? Probably not... but Western Conn has the common opponent with Trinity that gives them legitimacy to not make this a NESCAC sweep. I think I would have leaned that way. You can always take it back with the NESCAC tournament results later.

Western Conn also beat Vassar (3rd in Region III) and tied Drew (5th in Region V). The fact that they can't even crack the 7 spot in their Region is ridiculous and isn't supported by any of the numbers.

Flying Weasel · October 26, 2022, 04:36:51 PM

Western Conn's problem is a very low SOS (.516) in a region full of high SOS's.

PaulNewman · October 26, 2022, 04:37:17 PM

Quote from: paclassic89 on October 26, 2022, 04:30:04 PM
Quote from: jknezek on October 26, 2022, 04:02:49 PM
Kind of amazed that Western Conn didn't crack that last spot in Region 1. Williams has won 6 games. Does Western Conn win more than 6 games against Williams schedule? Probably not... but Western Conn has the common opponent with Trinity that gives them legitimacy to not make this a NESCAC sweep. I think I would have leaned that way. You can always take it back with the NESCAC tournament results later.

Western Conn also beat Vassar (3rd in Region III) and tied Drew (5th in Region V). The fact that they can't even crack the 7 spot in their Region is ridiculous and isn't supported by any of the numbers.

Agreed. I forgot they beat Vassar (at Vassar) and also were at Drew iirc. What is their SoS?

Of course they weren't in last week either. It was J&W that got bumped.

paclassic89 · October 26, 2022, 04:45:00 PM

Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 26, 2022, 04:36:51 PM
Western Conn's problem is a very low SOS (.516) in a region full of high SOS's.

They need to quantify this preference. It's not rocket science and the NCAA has full time statisticians on their payroll to do this work.